Baldrick,

15 Ukrainian aircraft in 3 days is impressive especially since you claimed that they previously destroyed 400% of their aircraft. Again you have provided zero evidence so we assume that you are lying again.

Two aircraft that the Russians have shot down recently are their own Su25s. Russia has lost 90 fixed-wing aircraft so far this year with about 20 not being from enemy fire. Also, the extended hours being flown are taking many Russian planes to the limit of their designed flying hours.

In Russia's offensive on Avdivka Satelite counts estimate that Russia has lost 6000 men 220 tanks and 800 odd APVs and other vehicles as well as 4 Su25s shot down.

Russia's economy is sinking and Russia is losing this war. Why else would Putin be trying to restart peace talks?

Baldrick,

You're a crap liar! The article you linked to describes how badly the Russian economy is doing and you chose one factoid to "prove" that the sanctions backfired. Seriously?

From the same article:

"The central bank has highlighted deteriorating foreign trade conditions as a key factor in the ruble’s recent slump. The currency weakened by more than 25% since the beginning of the year, the worst performance among emerging markets behind only the Turkish lira and Argentina’s peso."

And

"Still, with Russia’s economy adapting to unprecedented international sanctions over its war in Ukraine, the surplus remains far below levels recorded last year. It reached $40.9 billion in the first nine months of this year, compared with $196 billion in the same period of 2022, underlining pressure on the ruble from diminishing foreign currency earnings.

The central bank expects Russia to record a current-account surplus of just $45 billion this year and $50 billion in 2024."

Russia is losing this war.

I'm going to go easy on you for a little while SM,
Since it seems like you've been copping it a bit from others recently.
- I'm not really the type of person to kick someone when they're down.

I told you earlier in the year that when the currency devalued Russia actually ended up with more ruble for their exports.
The weak currency benefited them.

Right now, you're highlighting the decreased budget surplus.
But this roughly correlates with increased defense spending which has increased more than 3 fold.

The $60 Oil price cap is certainly not working, Russia is getting around $80 a barrel for Urals, and the market is already tight, and there's an expected increase in demand in the coming months.

Furthermore, revenue is expected to grow by more than a third in 2024.
http://carnegieendowment.org/politika/90753

And I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the noose is tightening in Avdiivka, (I tried to argue these things take time) and while the news of Russian losses there has been a talking point in the last week or two, no-one is talking about the huge amount of losses the Ukrainians have been taking recently around Robotyne.

When Ukraine eventually runs out of men and equipment, where are they going to get it from?
Who do you plan on dragging off the street to fight when there's no-one left?
Russia is still getting plenty of volunteers and has budgeted for the increased military spending,
- But without more money and weapons from the West for Ukraine, their situation can only get worse.

Russian forces receive weapons that downed 24 Ukrainian warplanes over 5 days — Shoigu
http://tass.com/politics/1696449

How can Ukraine replace this level of losses?

Baldrick,

For you, I will use simple language reserved for pinheads who can't tell the difference between the current account and the budget.

Russia is running a small current account surplus because it is exporting more than it imports. But the surplus is about 1/4 of what it was a year ago. However, it is running a huge budget deficit because its revenues from oil and gas are 1/3 of what it was a year ago and its expenditure on the war has more than doubled. These are figures published by the Russian Reserve Bank not made up. Also having your currency collapse is never a good thing. No one wants Rubles.

What is made up is the garbage you regurgitate from the Russian MOD or your Twitter fanboys.

The reason that Russians are being massacred in their 1000s are because the victories you boast of are pure fantasy.

Russia is losing this war.

"For you, I will use simple language reserved for pinheads who can't tell the difference between the current account and the budget."

Well thanks for helping me out there... learn something new every day.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/current-account-surplus.asp

I suppose I should return the favour.

Ukraine's Sudden High Air Losses Likely Caused By New Russian Missiles
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/10/ukraines-sudden-high-air-losses-likely-caused-by-new-russian-missiles.html#more

>>Military expert Vladislav Shurygin: The Pentagon has become sharply concerned about the suddenly increased effectiveness of the Russian Aerospace Forces.

In two weeks, the Russians staged a real massacre in the Ukrainian sky. The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost at least 10 of their aircraft (according to other sources, 14).

Moreover, all of them were shot down far from the front line and outside the radius of Russian air defense systems, as well as outside the standard radius of Russian fighter missiles. Those pilots who were able to eject reported that until the moment their planes were hit, they did not receive warning information about the attack from the appropriate warning systems.

The Americans believe that the Russian Aerospace Forces have acquired new missiles capable of not only hitting targets at a great distance, but also, after launch, independently pursuing a target without illuminating it from the aircraft’s radar, using a radio signature to guide it (the target).

Now Americans carefully check this information and consider it critically important. Since, if it is confirmed, it means that the Russians have acquired a weapon that will neutralize all the advertised advantages of their new main fighter, the F-35.<<

- Honestly I'm not certain if the claimed aircraft losses are from Russian S-400 missiles being linked to A50 AWACS or this R37M missile.
I don't know how true it all is, but if it is true it's a significant advancement, a game changer even, as US military is largely based on air power.

The Russians Got Close To Avdiivka In The South. Military Summary And Analysis For 2023.10.27
http://youtu.be/oSMzK76amK4

Baldrick,

If you are going to post from whack job sites such as "Moon of Alabama" you should do a little research before you look like an idiot again.

The R37m has been available since 2018 mostly in limited quantities because of its complexity and expense. So is not a new development. However, there is no record of any Ukrainian aircraft being shot down so far in Oct 2023.

Once again more Russian propaganda is faithfully regurgitated by halfwits. You can add these mythical air victories to the 400% of Ukraine's airforce shot down previously.