"Any ship that breaks the cap will its insurance and Turkey will not allow it into the black sea or any EU or US ports. Quite a disincentive."

They don't need insurance from Lloyds
Russia has it's own insurance.
They have their own tankers, insurance and turbines.
The West tries to use these things as weapons, and just shoots itself in the foot, no more money for them.

IMF states Russian economy is growing faster than UK and Germany.
Sanctions aren't working.

"As for 155mm howitzer shells, these are used and manufactured in 30 Nato countries and even more allied countries. The bottleneck in supply to Ukraine is logistics, not availability."
Russia just took out the bridge from Romania into Odessa yesterday with an underwater drone cutting that supply line, and showing it's ability to destroy more bridges along the Dnieper.

"The US stockpiles could supply Ukraine for years."
Yes, (even manufacture by Rhinemetal in Nth QLD) and Russia is beating all 30 NATO countries.
- And - emphasis 'could'... But the US operates in many countries, it's not all Ukraine, and whether it's willing to drawdown on it's own stockpile or not is a bigger issue.
Russians blew up about a dozen Ukrainian ammo depots in the last 24hrs.
"The t72 is a 50yr old design of a similar vintage to the leopard 1"
No it's not, it's comparable to a T-64, and even ABRAMS is 40 years old, and there has been very few tank on tank battles during the war.

"As for Russia's manufacturing capacity, the 20 T90s a month is a drop in the ocean of what they need to replace the destroyed tanks, and the 70 T72s and T62s that are being refurbished are still not enough."

They're building and refurbishing that many every month.
They will have as many new ones built and refurbished, before Western supplies even get there, and Russia has 1800 for the upcoming offensive. Do the math.
Western supplies will be exhausted, and as for the ABRAMS, there are serious maintenence issues with them, they have jet engines, run on jet fuel, are too heavy for the mud, and need to be sent on a 2000klm trip when they break, which they will.
- Tankers who have used them say it takes a year training just to learn how not to break them.

"While the ground is still frozen in the north, in the south the ground is defrosting."
No, it's not defrosting.
http://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=Weather+donetsk

"While Russia has the equipment you mention, the tanks, AFVs etc are about half of what Russia started the war with..."

- Ukrainian forces don't even have much ammo supply, this is the reason they were able to move west of Krasna Hora.
- Seriously Ukrainians are facing annihilation there, and Russia's upcoming offensive will completely change the battlefield map.
- Maybe I'm wrong, but we'll see.

In the meantime, now they are trying to sanction us, and when I say 'us' I mean people like myself who follow and supporting the Russian perspective i.e 'Russian Propagandists'.
- This is how desperate they are becoming.
http://www.reuters.com/world/europe/new-eu-sanctions-will-target-putins-propagandists-von-der-leyen-says-2023-02-09/
http://twitter.com/squatsons/status/1624542157922250752

I watched a video last a few days back, showing how Russians were targeting citizens who opposed the war, what communists!
- Then they showed what the UK has been doing.

"Arrested for a social media post" | Konstantin Kisin
http://youtu.be/0r7GRx8Sl-s

Stupid cancel culture
The West are becoming a bunch of controlling paranoid lunatics.
Russia's resisting the western ways and the rules based order.
It's has now become the last bastion of liberty.

Why don't you go and look at what the West actually does that you support?
Originally titled 'Don't Lift sanctions on Syria to help Earthquake Victims'
by Wa'el Alzayat (Former US State Department)
http://archive.is/S58vA

The article tries to demonise Assad, then says don't sent money to them send it to us, so we can continue our war against Assad.

Then watch this video and hear what she says.

Dana Stroul, Biden official, boasts that Washington "owns" one third of Syria
http://youtu.be/FSE3FWKFp4g

- They specifically do not want Assad to have the ability to rebuild and want to deprive them of food and medicine, and their own resources .

It's evil what the West does, and you want the whole world built in this image, including cancel culture, wokeness, trans celebrations, endless pandemics, lockdowns and jibby-jabby, and Klaus Schwab?
Rules dictated by weak as piss yes men branch-managers-for-globalism like Albo who dance to others tunes?

He runs around the Mardi Gras parade making speeches and meeting people,
While in Alice Springs he took a quick meeting and ran away.
Hangs out arse-licking the Chinese, while Aussies suffer?

Turkey is now more closely aligned with Russia, btw.
Don't you know that a day before the earthquake, Eastern European countries closed at least 10 embassies there?
They don't want Erdogan being a mediator between Ukraine and Russia.
The West torpedoed the peace talks and they're infuriated that he's stopping Sweden from joining NATO.

AC,

Now you are getting hysterical and just reposting the factually incorrect drivel you did previously.

The reality is that sanctions are working and that Russia is losing the war. It is now losing nearly 1000 soldiers killed a day nearly 10 tanks per day and is now printing money to keep the economy going.

Turkey is sending arms and military hardware to Ukraine and here you are claiming that they are on Russia's side? Seriously?

This is Russia's final push before it culminates and sues for peace.

"The reality is that sanctions are working and that Russia is losing the war. It is now losing nearly 1000 soldiers killed a day nearly 10 tanks per day and is now printing money to keep the economy going."

- The strings on your violin are wearing really thin mate.

"Turkey is sending arms and military hardware to Ukraine and here you are claiming that they are on Russia's side? Seriously?"

Turkeys economy's haddit.
Erdogan plays both sides for whatever's in his best interest at the time.
I doubt he wants Ukrainian terrorist attacks messing up tourism, and where else is he going to get fighter jets from if the West doesn't go through with the deal.
How is he going to fix his economy without the Russian gas hub deal?

John Bolton: Turkiye should be expelled from NATO for 'not acting like an ally'
http://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20230118-john-bolton-turkiye-should-be-expelled-from-nato-for-not-acting-like-an-ally/
Erdogan says Western embassies will ‘pay’ for temporary closures
http://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/erdogan-says-western-embassies-will-pay-for-temporary-closures/

And don't forget the US tried to overthrow him in a coup in 2016.
- I'm sure he hasn't forgotten that, or that the US supports the Kurds.