AC,

Financially, Russia will burn through its financial reserves by the end of the year with the war and sanctions likely to last well beyond this.

Russia has already committed all of its forces. There is no bigger offensive in the future. Russia has thrown everything into this fight other than the kitchen sink but is making minimal gains for staggering losses of nearly 1000 men a day and dozens of tanks, BMPs, artillery etc. Ukraine is fighting a near-perfect defensive action designed to inflict the most damage on Russian forces.

You have been banging on about how the west is running out of ammunition for nearly a year, yet every month more and more is delivered. If you have any doubt as to the west's capabilities, in WW2 the Ford factory was delivering a new bomber every hour and the navy was delivering a new aircraft carrier every month.

While there are some delays from some countries, Ukraine will be getting 500+ tanks that at least match Russia's and most well outclass the T90.

The UK challenger 2 holds the record for killing a T72 at 5km.

Russia is losing badly and by the end of 2024 life in Russia will be miserable.

I think you're in denial, but I don't want to argue with you about it.
Just wait until their air campaign and bombing gets started.
http://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/financial-times-western-intelligence-shows-russians-amassing-aircraft-on-ukraine-border

Didn't you see the video I showed you from Stoltenberg about NATO running out of ammo?
Haven't you heard the tone of the articles in the MSM over the last few days
Ukraine is using more weapons than the West is producing.

The West builds its war industry around profitability and has no surge capacity.
Russian military industrial capacity is built for war paid for by the state.
They build huge industrial plants that run at 1/10th capacity, always ready to quickly expand should the need arise and have been expanded and are running 24/7 around the clock.

No long range missiles coming,
http://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/13/u-s-wont-send-long-range-missiles-ukraine-00082652
UK not sending fighter jets anytime soon
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-64578973

Countries are backing away
Netherlands and Denmark not sending tanks
http://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/the-netherlands-and-denmark-will-not-supply-leopard-2-tanks-to-ukraine
Anthony Blinken 'warns Ukraine' against taking Crimea
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/02/16/ukraine-warned-against-attempting-retake-crimea-putin/
Blinken: Crimea a ‘red line’ for Putin as Ukraine weighs plans to retake it
http://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/15/blinken-crimea-ukraine-putin-00083149
More Republicans oppose Ukraine Funding
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/11/republicans-aid-ukraine-poll/

The writings on the wall.

Looks like Ukraine has run out 40, 50, 60 year old men,
- As well as the handicapped and 16 year olds.

Now it's sending the girls, just horrible.
http://twitter.com/ArthurM40330824/status/1626137443912097793

"Russia has already committed all of its forces."

They have broken Ukrainian defensive lines partly using men from prisons.
Other than that Wagner group is fairly well equipped using ex-military, which is why the US is trying to sanction them.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/13/russia-wagner-group-sanctions-ukraine-putin/

The US uses money as a weapon and thinks it can solve it's problems by writing cheques, but that doesn't create weapons or the infrastructure to produce them immediately.

The Russians have only done one mobilisation of 300,000 reservists and have a population of 145 million people.
Ukraine has been conscripting people without any military experience from off the street, giving them a rifle and sending them to the front to fill the losses in their brigades.
The sanctions did not have the intended outcome.
The West has been outplayed, it's another military debacle and they're looking for a way out whilst also trying to save face.

The Ukrainian armed forces have been largely decimated in Bakhmut.
They don't have enough left in the tank, they don't have enough left to launch successful counter-offensives.

Unconfirmed reports of explosions in Lviv, maybe all the new equipment?

P.S. The US has sent over 1000 000 155mm howitzer shells to Ukraine and is still sending over 100 000 per month. (over 3000 per day). The use of artillery to massacre Russians at Vuhledar

The US has issued contracts to private companies to increase production rapidly to 90 000 per month with plans to reach a capacity of 200 000 pm by the end of 2023.

That is only for the US and does not include ammunition from the EU, Canada, or 152mm ammunition from other countries for the old Russian-made guns.

The latest tranch includes MIG 29s from Poland, about 7000 javelins, and more HIMARS systems with missiles incl the 150km range ones.

"KYIV, Ukraine — As Moscow steps up its offensive in eastern Ukraine, weeks of failed attacks on a Ukrainian stronghold have left two Russian brigades in tatters, raised questions about Russia’s military tactics and renewed doubts about its ability to maintain sustained, large-scale ground assaults.

The battle for the city of Vuhledar, which has been viewed as an opening move in an expected Russian spring offensive, has been playing out since the last week of January, but the scale of Moscow’s losses there is only now beginning to come into focus.

Accounts from Ukrainian and Western officials, Ukrainian soldiers, captured Russian soldiers and Russian military bloggers, as well as video and satellite images, paint a picture of a faltering Russian campaign that continues to be plagued by battlefield dysfunction.

In recent weeks, Moscow has rushed tens of thousands more troops, many of them inexperienced new recruits, to the front lines as President Vladimir V. Putin’s forces seek to demonstrate progress before the anniversary of his invasion on Feb. 24. But raising further doubts about Russia’s offensive capabilities, Western officials estimate that a large part of Russia’s army is already fighting in Ukraine."

http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/nato-chief-ukraines-ammunition-outstripping-supply-97082620

“The war in Ukraine is consuming an enormous amount of munitions and depleting allied stockpiles,” Stoltenberg said. “The current rate of Ukraine’s ammunition expenditure is many times higher than our current rate of production. This puts our defense industries under strain.”

'many times higher'

Not an equal amount, not twice as much and probably not three times as much.

MANY TIMES HIGHER.
This is coming from the head of NATO, which part is unclear to you?
Exactly what I've been trying to state for months.

Ukraine, is a combination of what Vietnam was for the West;
And what Afghanistan was for the Soviets.

The Vietnam comparison is that the West is not going to win militarily.
The Afghanistan comparison, (dragging western countries down economically and sending them broke)
is that this conflict, will be the end of the Western lead empire.
- And the US never achieved anything in Afghanistan either.
Taliban took the country back one week after the US left.

Sanctions have done more harm to the West than it has done to Russia, and Ukraine continues on only through western financing.

And the reason for all of it, (this war that has continues since 2014) - though Putin didn't invade until a year ago) is the United States neoconservative foreign policy.