More bad news for Albanese.

An Accent poll shows that, if an election had been held yesterday, the Coalition would have had an 82% chance of forming a majority government. Labor would have 0% chance of forming a majority government.

Seat predictions;

Coalition 64
Labor 59
Greens 4
Other 9
Too close to call 14

Hi ttbn,
I told you I didn't think Dutton had what it takes on his own merits to get over the line.
Except maybe on the economic front, LNP were usually always better with the purse-strings.
It must be that people really want Albo out.
- Punish him for mass immigration, the Voice, MAD, and social media laws... etc.
Dutton maybe then looks like 'the lesser evil'?

Dutton is the lesser of two evils, and Albanese definitely must be punished for his authoritarianism.

AC

The fact is - neither the Coalition nor Labor are fit for purpose. We don't have a lot of choice.

I haven't voted for either party for years. But, while 70% of Australians gave their first preferences to the Coalition and Labor - as they did at the last election, despite the claim that voters were sick of the two - nothing is going to change. We will be stuck with Leftist parties sharing the job.

Australian voters really can't complain while that are complicit in the cause of their problems. Maybe they enjoy being treated like shite. Who knows. I don't care much anymore.

" the Coalition would have had an 82% chance of forming a majority government"

That's not at all what the poll, such as it is, says.

Its says the LNP has an 82% chance of being the biggest party in parliament but only 2% chance of being in a majority.

As such the ALP-Green alliance along, perhaps, with the odd teal would be most likely to form a minority government.

Note that the poll uses a new method to make its guesses and those new methods are as yet untested against reality. So take it with piles of salt.

We've seen what happens when the Greens get into government when St Julia was forced to treat with them. It wasn't good and adding a couple of teals wouldn't make it better. But that is the current scenario.

We see in Europe that as nations start to unravel politically, people fracture their support and the nation ends up with multiple, unmanageable coalitions of parties united in nothing other than their desire for power and hatred of the other side.

The Westminster system tends to reduce the risks of that but not entirely. A hung parliament and a minority government trying ot reconcile differing agendas and different thirsts for power isn't what the nation needs right now. But its increasingly likely its what we'll get.

Just on polls and predictions, its generally agreed that governments pick up around 2% during the run-up to elections. So a government 2% behind in the polls is usually in pretty good shape to hang on. As the electorate, desperate for answers, radicalises, this might change.

But Albo remains the favourite in my view to hang on as PM - at least until the ALP decide that they need a new face to save their backsides.

Let's look at what the Albanese government has done
in just a couple of years. Lets look at what it's done
to help with wages, climate change, housing, child-care,
aged care, social welfare, trade relations with China,
and much more on the global stage.

Do we want to be controlled by large corporations, and the
fossil-fuel industry, and other vested interests?

As we can see from news reports Dutton, and the Coalition, and
the Murdoch Press would like to extend fossil fuels for
another twenty years. Dutton's pushing with slogans like -
"It's time for a change"as an excuse to oust Labor - is
nothing new - but what he and his team want is retrograde.
They all seem to be a mimic of the "big stupid" that's going
down in the US.

We should not want it here.