The Forum > General Discussion > Dancing With the Chinese Dragon
Dancing With the Chinese Dragon
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Yes, China may become old but it will also become rapidly more educated, relying less on comparatively backward agricultural and industrial technologies, and do away with its low-yielding (and increasingly high-cost and low-returns) industries like manufacturing - sending them overseas to Vietnam and Indonesia and eventually Africa, while its own population moves up the occupational ladder, into financial and cyber services, etc. on a massive scale.
So its military and economy will keep growing in power, even once its population stabilises in the next couple of decades, and then starts to decline. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised (if i live that long) if its military becomes one of the most high-tech and sophisticated in the world by 2030, relying on hi-tech and not on manpower. I can understand (I think), and even support, what Trump is doing, but that may simply accelerate all of these processes.
Yes, I don't understand why we aren't focussing far more on contributing to the building of India. And that will probably mean building a huge nuclear-power sector, so that all Indians have the electricity supplies and amenities that we all take for granted.
Cheers,
Joe