Aidan - please enlighten me as to what Dillard did that is noteworthy but not in a negative way for Australian taxpayers.

The general rule is that in by-elections the vote swings against the government by an average of 5% which is why no federal government in a century has won a seat off the opposition which is why it is so dangerous for Shorten.

If the coalition loses all the seats and the vote difference is increased, significantly, it will be a win for Labor. A maintenance of the votes in Longman and Braddon will be a small victory for the coalition, and if the coalition wins even one seat it will be a huge victory for the liberals.

LNP did not put itsself to the test in Perth, not running in two elections, they have Lost the SA one after trying to hand it down in the family,longman is hard, it has a conservative past, if Labor win it then Turnbull is in the ejection seat,the Victorian one if lost, or longman for that matter may see Shorten in that seat

YouGov Galaxy polling published by NewsCorp on Monday
has Longman and Braddon of the five seats to be
decided on Saturday on a knife-edge.

Polling has 50-50 vote in Braddon and Labor trailing
49 to 51 in Braddon.

Should the Coalition snatch either seat, it will be the
1st time a Government has won a seat from the Opposition at
a byelection in 100 years.

Ooooops, sorry for my typo.

I should have said - 49 to 51 in Longman.

The pundits say that Labor is in big trouble. So they should be. Anybody voting for Labor candidates who lost the seats because they lied about their citizenship to get be elected in the first place must be quite stupid.