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The Forum > General Discussion > How Long Till The Next Election? One Year, Maybe Two?

How Long Till The Next Election? One Year, Maybe Two?

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Belly - Quote "In another thread I actualy answered the bloke."
Does anyone think this is a informed comment?
To quote Belly
Philip S sorry my fault, I continue to forget you lack any intellectual ability's.
Will stay away, means, writing slowly, its your sand box .

Quote "I am forced to wounder" The word is wonder.
P.S actualy is spelt actually.
Posted by Philip S, Thursday, 12 September 2013 10:18:20 AM
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Had my say on this subject and thank the author for that chance.
As it appears only I poses the wit to understand nothing is gained by further confrontation, without my thoughts and opinions being changed in any way I with draw for OLO sake.
Posted by Belly, Thursday, 12 September 2013 2:45:45 PM
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.....DD? longer he waits the less likely little Tony will have the jam tart to call one.

Short memory there hey Belly.

Rudd had at least two opportunities that I recall.
Posted by rehctub, Friday, 13 September 2013 5:53:06 AM
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Rechtub just what are you on about?
What has bought you to think my memory is slipping.
And what has Rudd,s gutless act in not going to a DD election got to do with this.
My comments clearly adess the lunacy of the newly elected Senate.
Mate *even you* should understand well maybe not!
I am saying clearly Abbott has his mandate.
That, get help if you do not understand.
We should not let the senate *stop any elected* government passing its legislation.
Gets harder from here, I state here this view.
Abbott if he intends a DD [it would be welcome if it got rid of all the small party,s]
Must confront this.
Such an election if not held during his peak in voters likes or dislikes could both see his house of Reps numbers fall.
And Senate elect Mickey mouse and the seven dwarfs.
he must pick his time.
And that doing that, if a threat exists is his problem and he may not find a window to? call one in safely.
Find for me any anti Abbott stuff, you no doubt will but it is in my view a truth.
The Senate results scream for action on behalf of mainstream Australia, under the current system you could be elected on a Butchers for road killed snags ticket!
Posted by Belly, Friday, 13 September 2013 7:37:29 AM
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A DD Senate election actually favors small parties and independents. A quota is reduced from 14.28% to 7.69%. This assures many one senator at least.
Posted by Paul1405, Friday, 13 September 2013 7:56:34 AM
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I donīt see a double dissolution as likely as the repeal of the carbon tax would probably go through the new senate when it finally sits. I see no reason for the Libs/Nats to go to an earlier election, as the normal practice is to do the unpopular things in the first year of government, and then hope people have forgotten about it by the time the election rolls around.
If Tony Abbott becomes really unpopular, he would be probably be replaced by Turnbull. I actually donīt think it will come to that. The scenario I see as most likely, is that Australia will enter a recession during the next 3 years, not because of anything either the present government does, or what the previous government did, but simply because under normal circumstances the business cycle goes from boom to bust every 5 to 7 years. My guess is that how the Libs/Nat government responds to this will determine the result of the next election in 3 years time. If we donīt have a recession, and the Libs/Nat government does not decide to self implode, then they will be in government for at least 6 years. If we do have a recession as I expect then the labour government will have some chance of getting back in.
Posted by warmair, Friday, 13 September 2013 11:10:20 AM
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