The Forum > General Discussion > Bushrangers, democracy and economics
Bushrangers, democracy and economics
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Suppose, everything else being equal, bushrangers preferred their friends alive...
Result: The first-ranking bushranger takes everything!
(so much for mercy)
Suppose the opposite, bushrangers were willing to pay a golden crown to see their fellow killed...
Result: The first-ranking has to give more to his coalition.
(cruelty pays)
But this I like most:
Suppose there is a 1% chance for each bushranger, at each round, to catch a cold and not be able to attend the vote. Details:
A. If the first-ranking bushranger is sick, they stay in bed, alive but getting no share of the loot, then the next-ranking makes a new proposal.
B. If a different bushranger can't vote because they have a cold and the proposal is accepted, then their share goes to charity.
C. If all bushrangers are sick at the time it's their turn to propose, the loot goes to charity.
Result: The second-to-last-ranking bushranger comes best: All except the two last-ranking bushrangers will be shot. If the second-to-last is well (99%), then he'll get the whole loot, otherwise the last will get all (if well at the time).
Same if the chance of getting a cold is up to 10%.
With 11% chance to get a cold, the division will be: 9,10,1,73,8
With 15%: 10,14,2,63,11
With 20%: 14,19,3,52,12
With 30%: 20,27,6,35,12
With 40%: 25,34,9,23,9
With 50%: 30,38,12,13,7
With 60%: 36,39,14,7,4
With 70%: 44,36,15,3,2
With 80%: 56,29,13,1,1
With 90%: 72,17,9,1,1
How does it reflect on the real world?
It doesn't - because people are not rational beings!