The Forum > General Discussion > Today Syria, tomorrow Iran?
Today Syria, tomorrow Iran?
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"The House of Assad is crumbling. Its fall will obviously transform Syria, a country that has lived under the boot-heel of that clan for four decades. But it will also radically affect the wider region. Syria, which borders Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Turkey and Israel, does not keep itself to itself. As one former Obama official says: "Syria won't implode; it will explode." Put simply, the battle for Syria is a battle for the entire Middle East
The most immediate impact will be felt by Iran, which stands to lose not only its pivotal Arab ally but also the gateway Syria has long provided to Iran's proxy force in Lebanon, enabling Tehran to put upwards of 40,000 rockets in the hands of Hezbollah. Without Syria, Iran will lose that vital strategic bridgehead into the Arab world"
Notably Iran put down its own uprising recently, and must be watching with dismay at how the use of force has failed against a determined popular resistance. The tinder is dry and the question that must be in the heads of the Ayatollahs is whether the spark of democracy will jump the border.