The Forum > General Discussion > Arab Spring ?
Arab Spring ?
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than I can give,
However there are a few fundamentals that are well known.
When I say die off I don't mean hundreds of millions I mean billions.
Not all on the one day of course, but certainly faster than the population rose.
The availability of oil will take a long time to get down to levels that it
will no longer be used for diesel and petrol. No doubt oil will be reserved
for food production, so the food depletion will be in track with oil depletion.
Further slowing will be enabled by people taking up farming, but there is a
limit to the amount of arible land.
The earth simply cannot support 7 billion sustance farmers.
The current food supply is the result of industrial farming.
Some say it is not sustainable anyway.
The United Nations has warned that food availabilty for UN programs
has run low and some programs cannot be supported.
It has been calculated that our energy intense food production uses
10 calories for every calorie of food produced.
However it has been the availability of cheap energy, almost entirely oil,
that has ebabled the feeding of 7 billion people.
An example of what may be in store for us as you no doubt have seen on TV.
The problems in the Horn of Africa are being made worse by regional
disputes over land and territory. Drought has made all their troubles
so much worse.
I really cannot see how we will get around this winding down.
Alternative energy in the magnitude of what is needed looks like being magic pudding stuff.
There is however a worry that systems people are warning about.
Complex systems don't normally collapse gently.
They start slowly winding down and then shortages in critical components start to occur.
This cascades and rapidly crashes the whole system.