Dear Belly,
In case you don't know, the definition of an expert is a drip under pressure.
Regards Richie 10

AGW, pft, I've lost interest. You lot pontificating and going on about 'deniers', pretending to be meteorologists etc has helped in that process.

It's why Rudd has dropped it all. The public has lost interest too. The time for doing something has passed. The political window of opportunity has closed.

Interest will be gained again if we have another extreme weather event or the dams in Sydney (The only place that counts) drop.

Like most things, we will come up with a solution at the 11th hour. ie when it is truely necessary. All will be fine, and everyone will wonder why we were all so worried.

Can anyone come up with a problem the world took too long to do anything about that cost us more in lives or anything else that wouldn't have costed anything by doing things sooner? 6 of 1 half a dozen of the other. Muddling through is what humans do, and it's always worked out in the past.

The real problems in life aren't the things you worry about, they're the things that hit you like a freight train on an idle Tuesday.

The question was, why all this record rainfall, with a very negative SOI, totally against the theory.

It had nothing to do with AGW. Even if AGW exisrs, it can't explain this rainfall.

Come to think about it, we would probably have a much better understanding of this, & other weather, if we hadn't wasted so much money, & time on AGW.

Hasbeen
You either didn't read the BOM link, or you didn't understand it.
May I suggest you phone and talk to someone in 'climate' - the numbers are provided.

Belly

In answer to your question, I suspect when AGW dismissers are ill, being sued, buying a car, selecting a school etc, they check in with Andrew Bolt or Ian Plimer.

I'm serious. Really.

:-)

Horus

About your “Australian” link.

It’s in reference to a recent paper by the well known ‘dummy-spitter’ to the IPCC, Chris Landsea

A few years ago he said “global warming might be enhancing hurricane winds, but only by 1 or 2 percent”.

He now says global warming might enhance hurricane intensity by up to 11%. Insurance companies (and their insurers) are quite rightly worried because this translates into an increase of 60% in damage costs. Imagine what that will do to everyones’ premiums.

While frequency of weaker hurricanes will decrease, the strongest hurricanes in the Atlantic basin are expected to increase in frequency by 80%. Landsea has acknowledged this.

In fact, it now appears Landsea is agreeing with the IPCC, check it out yourself here:

http://www.ipcc-wg1.unibe.ch/publications/wg1-ar4/ar4-wg1-chapter10.pdf

“Results from embedded high-resolution models and global models, ranging in grid spacing from 100 km to 9 km, project a likely increase of peak wind intensities and notably, where analysed, increased near-storm precipitation in future tropical cyclones. Most recent published modelling studies investigating tropical storm frequency simulate a decrease in the overall number of storms, though there is less confidence in these projections and in the projected decrease of relatively weak storms in most basins, with an increase in the numbers of the most intense tropical cyclones.”

If you can’t be bothered (most so called ‘sceptics’ don’t) and you’re only willing to regurgitate things you read/misinterpret in the popular press (or your favourite blog), then there really is no point in explaining or discussing things with you or any old hasbeen – you have already made your mind up.

_____

Hasbeen

It hasbeen updated

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

Do you still not understand?

Oh, no mention of AGW.