Hmmm. I think that many Russians know why they are missing out AC.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ba1huZurYKI

And Macgregor is pro Russian and predicted the annihilation of Ukraine within a few days, then revised his prediction to a few weeks. Just saying AC.

The Ukrainian defense is starting to collapse in Bakhmut
http://youtu.be/JtLmx0Tpz8I

Hi AC,

Yes, it is time for Ukraine to get out of Bakhmut, but 24 hours for Russia to take it sounds a bit hopeful and ignores some very accurate artillery in the area. I am guessing the Ukrainian commanders want to keep their troops alive and will make the call when conditions in the city start to favour Russia.

One question for you to think about: If Ukraine is using their entire force to defend Bakhmut then why doesn't Russia make advances on other parts of the front? My understanding is that there are areas of greater strategic importance than Bakhmut. The fact that they are creating defensive fortifications again suggests that Russia has little offensive capability. The defensive strategy will leave Russia vulnerable as they have limited and diminishing hardware spread out over a large front.

I saw this video once that showed how they build up defensive positions.
They are very well thought out, and it takes time to penetrate them, they can't just send wave after wave in without first taking out artillery and tanks, trying to storm these defensive positions without first taking those out results in too many of your own men being killed. So, it just takes time to do it while minimising losses.

I saw Ukraine take a bit of territory around Kremmina in the last few days.
Ukraine still has enough men to cover the entire line of contact, but they have been ground down to a point where they have to move battalions from other areas if they need to reinforce a position.

When they have troop losses now they have to use poorly trained conscripts to fill the gaps and maintain battalion strength, some reports say that some of these battalions are functioning at diminished troop numbers that they previously had.

Ukrainians are fighting hard and inflicting significant casualties I make no mistake about that.
Apparently Zelensky is not sending any more reinforcements into Bakhmut, I think the Russians had fire control over all roads in and out and too many were getting killed just trying to enter or exit (wounded) the city. Apparently there's only 5000 Ukrainians in Bakhmut now.

AC,

The particular missile you spoke of is an ICBM.

A huge crater appeared in Belgorad as one of Russia's incompetent pilots dropped a 1.5t glide bomb on a Russian city. These bombs are hugely inaccurate and their only benefit is to keep aircraft away from Ukrainian MANPADS.

The Russian ruble is starting to collapse as Russia starts printing money. The only benefit to Russia would be to make exports cheaper but also makes all imports more expensive. This will also boost inflation.

I also see that the promised tanks and armoured vehicles are starting to flood into Ukraine along with new artillery systems HIMARS etc for the upcoming to liberate occupied Ukraine.

I have heard that the reserve held back for the counter-offensive includes up to 400 000 trained soldiers. If this is true, Russia is in for a bad time.