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The Forum > Article Comments > Flattening the curve or just muddling on? > Comments

Flattening the curve or just muddling on? : Comments

By Graham Young, published 22/4/2020

While they are still talking about 'flattening the curve' they appear to want to eliminate new infections before they start relaxing restrictions, and that's a confusing message.

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mhaze,

How do you think the Wuhan virus will impact future tourism to China?
Posted by Mr Opinion, Monday, 27 April 2020 11:55:55 AM
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Dear mhaze,

Keep up old chap. More than happy to speak about Sweden as a whole and to note that only three days ago it had its highest ever daily number of new cases.

But it was you who referred to Lomborg. “Re the Swedish data from Lomborg.” Both the tweets Graham posted were regarding the Stockholm figures. Both were proclaiming herd immunity was fast approaching and that the peak had already been reached. That was utterly blown out of the water with the new figures.

Now if this is another thing you are going to deflect from so be it but why not discuss the figures. Tell me, do you think cases in Sweden or Stockholm have reached their peak or not?

As to China I agree that the only way to sure of what Either China or the US is telling us about the infections in their respective countries will be to test all incoming visitors. That will certainly tell the story. If that testing reflects their narrative then all to the good.

However they most certainly never hid the fact that a novel virus was on the scene. Taiwan took notice as did South Korea and Japan and all fared relatively well in combating the spread of the virus.

However there were parts of Japan which eased too quickly;

“Japan’s northern island of Hokkaido offers a grim lesson in the next phase of the battle against COVID-19. It acted quickly and contained an early outbreak of the coronavirus with a 3-week lockdown. But, when the governor lifted restrictions, a second wave of infections hit even harder. Twenty-six days later, the island was forced back into lockdown.
A doctor who helped coordinate the government response says he wishes they’d done things differently. “Now I regret it, we should not have lifted the first state of emergency,” Dr. Kiyoshi Nagase, chairman of the Hokkaido Medical Association, tells TIME.”
http://time.com/5826918/hokkaido-coronavirus-lockdown/

Let's hope that isn't Australia's fate.
Posted by SteeleRedux, Monday, 27 April 2020 12:40:41 PM
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Australia's strategy is hope in elimination. Its fate is clear.

BTW, WHO knew? http://tinyurl.com/yd6d5ldm
Posted by Luciferase, Monday, 27 April 2020 2:24:46 PM
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