The Forum > Article Comments > The Islamic State's Theatre of the Grotesque > Comments
The Islamic State's Theatre of the Grotesque : Comments
By Felix Imonti, published 2/4/2015The IS is the first of the modern Salafist movements to seize and hold territory. The caliphate is not just a future dream; it is real and now. It has all of the trappings of a modern state.
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An interesting vision of the future for Islam in the Middle East is Egypt.
Egypt being largely desert has just one source of food to support the
population. I believe at the time Napoleon was there the population
was around 10 million. For at least a thousand years Egypt was the
breadbasket of the Mediterranean.
The best information I have is that the population at the end of the
19th century was around 35 million. This population was supported by
the Nile, comfortably I believe.
Early in the 20th century oil was discovered and production increased
right up to 2000. During the 20th century Egypt was a significant
oil producer and exporter.
The government used the profits to subsidise food and fuel prices.
With ample income from oil & tourism the population grew to 85million.
All went well until oil production peaked and in the 2000 to 2010
period Egypt became an oil importer and the subsidies were cut back
despite very angry protests.
The disruption and protests resulted in the overthrow of Mubarak.
Egypt has a population of 85M and a river that can support 40M at a push.
They are living on charity from the Gulf states but that cannot
continue indefinitely. Egypt has to get rid of 25M people somehow.
This will be the patten in the other Middle East states as the oil declines.
It is interesting that Saudi Arabia's exports are affecting the way
they support their unemployed people, their internal usage has reduced
exports and is starting to worry their treasury.
As you said they have no skills at other industrial business nor do
they seem to have an aptitude for other than cottage industry.
Egypt will write the script for the rest of the Islamic world.