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The Forum > Article Comments > June 2021: ten predictions for the coming decade > Comments

June 2021: ten predictions for the coming decade : Comments

By Sam Vaknin, published 26/5/2011

Russia to become properly democratic; a Chinese depression; cloud computing in cloud cuckoo land? Ten years will tell.

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all make there mark on our history.
Quantumleap,
I assume you mean all leave their mark on history. Anyhow, you're right that the parallel characters of those long gone keep popping up regularly. My assumption is that as long as humans are influenced by superstition they will continue to impair progress. Religion having been a culprit through the ages & these days fanaticism accepting instructions without any form of intelligent assessment are the new religion. Just look up the dictionary under Public Servant. It says "A government official following orders without intelligent judgement". There you have it. Everything about mankind is mass f(o)ollowing for the benefit of a handful of megalomaniacs.
Posted by individual, Sunday, 29 May 2011 9:53:17 AM
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Indy.

Yes, and some of today's leaders do have the mentality of a gang of monkeys furiously typing Shakespeare in reversibly circles, while trying to consolidate the workings of the new worlds in order to strengthen or improve one's control over (a situation, force, newly captured area, etc.)being technologies given to those, that should not have.

"Religion having been a culprit through the ages & these days fanaticism accepting instructions without any form of intelligent assessment are the new religion."

The old instruction books has No relevants for to days demands of the achievements made by time......now IMO...its going to work against animality/humanity and since the good books people are following, predictions are freely to come, to whats in the pages, and its translating gibberish can only be a mindset mess.

Funny thats what we are seeing, isn't it.

The older religions all have there deep seeded hatreds for one-another
and religion as we know, has the blood of man written/soaked in its pages as the man-animal marks its territorials in the name of what ever the ape thinks of.

If a new religion is being designed by others, and its one of opposites to the now, these new thinkings can only save us.
However Indy, if simpler men were not given the true direction of future, and alpha males are not presently accountable for being clouded by older thoughts, then panic quickly spreads, and as history tell us quite clearly, how situations can become the death of the many.

So predictions by men/or prophets makers have made the roads of mans progressive thoughts, and while mankind's being led by older texts, no good will come of it.

As soon as just one monkey throws a tantrum, hitting the red button will be hard to resist.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdPqU4KCdZY&feature=related

lea
Posted by Quantumleap, Sunday, 29 May 2011 1:50:09 PM
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Here is one prediction I feel I can safely make: experts will continue to make assured predictions regarding the future, they will continue to be spectacularly wrong, and the gaping rubes in the front benches will continue to gasp in amazement at their alleged perspicacity.
Posted by Clownfish, Sunday, 29 May 2011 4:01:40 PM
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"And the gaping rubes in the front benches"......well you know that better than any.

lea
Posted by Quantumleap, Monday, 30 May 2011 12:20:15 AM
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This article hits close to home for me: I work for a senior secondary college, managing their Learning Management System (LMS) and producing digital content.

I agree with most of this article. Certainly, e-learning is an appalling medium for delivering liberal arts content. Jakob Nielsen has basically shown quantitatively what those of us who have worked with the web have always said: People just don't like to read on screen.

There is a case, though, for e-learning to be a part (but only one part) of delivering content for other types of learning. In my particular case, that's Vocational learning.

I've been building the LMS more-or-less from the ground up, and the big frustration I have faced is that curriculum developers just don't want to acknowledge the limitations that e-learning imposes. Too often they seem to think that they can just take their paper-based (and all too often, too wordy and education-theory-burdened) lessons, and cut-and-paste them from Word to a web-based LMS.

The result is lengthy, verbose and confusing, and the students hate it.

The key to successful e-learning - in those areas where e-learning is appropriate in the first place - is, in the succinct appraisal of a colleague at a tertiary institution, "videos and games".

It all comes back to what I used to constantly refer to in my days in web development: Appropriate technology.
Posted by Clownfish, Wednesday, 22 October 2008 1:24:54 PM

Question, and I know its off topic, but....what is Appropriate Technologies? Do you think this conversation reflects on something we shouldn't predict, or are times changing to where the videos or all in what is certifiably mad, as in unclear weapons is concerned with developing structures.....or should we just forget all currant thoughts about safety and just say.....she'll be right mate?

LEA
Posted by Quantumleap, Monday, 30 May 2011 1:11:25 AM
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Well, Quantumleap, I'll give you points for tenacity. Digging back three years through comments is ... well, something. 'Stalking' comes to mind, but let's be kind and call it 'research'. ;)

My main question is: what's the point?

'Appropriate technologies' is exactly that: technology that's appropriate to the task at hand. The old urban myth about pens and pencils on spacecraft comes to mind.

Or, to use another example, you don't bring a knife to a gunfight.
Posted by Clownfish, Monday, 30 May 2011 8:41:03 AM
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