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Australia's future: slow growth, falling terms of trade, lower per capita incomes? : Comments
By Geoff Carmody, published 13/12/2013Some economists recently warned Australian real incomes will fall, but they've been doing this for the last two years already.
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Surely this is the crux of the matter. If we were to stabilise the demand, or at least greatly reduce the rate of increase, we might have some chance of the supply side actually matching the demand much more efficiently than it now does.
Due to rapid population growth, we have an ever-increasing demand for all manner of services, infrastructure, resources and export income. The existing population is paying through the nose to simply duplicate everything for ever-more people, and to repair and upgrade existing services and infrastructure which are being overburdened.
Instead of seeing all this economic activity that is generated by high immigration as a negative factor, we actually count it as a positive contribution to GDP and economic wellbeing!
Well, excuse me, but that is STUPID!
< …increasing living standards (measured by per capita consumption) cannot be sustained unless real per capita income growth returns. >
Absolutely! So how are we going to increase real per-capita improvements in living standards while we are struggling (and failing) to provide the same level of everything that we now have for an ever-bigger population?
Surely the SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT POINT in economic reform is to steadily reduce immigration down to net zero or thereabouts, so that we may get ourselves onto the road towards a stable population, a stable demand for everything, and hence a much better prospect for being able to match supply with demand, with constantly improving quality… and hence be able to achieve a steadily improving per-capita living standard.
Can I ask you Geoff Carmody: If we continue on with very high immigration, how on earth are we going to achieve this?? How are things not going to get steadily worse?
Practically everything else that we could do would be nothing more than tinkering at the edges, rearranging the deck-chairs, and quite frankly; would just be ineffective!