Coalition to win.

anyone can win at this stage.

We larned from the last election that predicting
a winner is risky. Will the Coalition get another
"miracle" to win again this time? Perhaps what we should be
asking is - will it take a miracle for them not to
lose?

Our electorate has been a safe Liberal seat under the
leadership of the conservative - Kevin Andrews.
Kevin Andrews has been replaced by a much younger Liberal
with a very impressive background - Keith Wolahan.

Whether Keith Wolahan - who's relatively unknown will make
any sort of impact - I guess time will tell.

Our electorate is similar to that of Josh Frydenberg's - it's
a wealthy eastern suburb. I would have thought that
Frydenberg's seat would have been a safe Liberal seat but
it appears that the Independent Monique Ryan is making an
impact. Whether the Labor candidate can do the same in my
electorate remains to be seen.

One big thing Labor has over the Liberal Party is that it is not a "broadchurch" as the latter's politicians and former politicians (e.g John Howard) are fond of telling us.

Labor politicians stick together; they don't cross the floor (they would be kicked out if they did). No 'conscience' votes for them. All are behind Labor policy.

Not so with the Liberals, who have lost conservatives' votes - and probably this election - thanks to the likes of Dave Sharma, Trent Zimmerman, and other sitting members now targeted by 'Teals'. Even the Treasurer could get the flick.

As John Roskam points out, "A church, regardless of whether it is broad or narrow, can only exist if the congregation all believe in approximately the same God."

Roskam goes on to say, "Other than a liking for being in government and a dislike of “the unions”, it’s not obvious what a “moderate” Liberal, a “conservative” Liberal and run-of-the-mill “Liberal” Liberal now have in common. They all call themselves “Liberals” but that’s about it." Any classical liberalism is well hidden, and there is nothing much conservative about them.

The Liberal party has a lot of re-learning to do after it is put out to pasture on May 21st.

Dear Foxy,

«anyone can win at this stage.»

Please don't rub salt into our wounds - we know that we are going to lose, as always.
Whether Tweedledum or Tweedledee are elected, their whip will hurt us just the same!

Issy, no coming on here on the Monday morning AFTER the election and claiming you won a "sheep station" on the result. What was it last time, you won a "goggomobil", after the results were in.

Yuyutsu,

Being smart as a whip
includes knowing when not
to crack it.