Labour in NZ won 55% of the vote in the 2020 pandemic elections. A year later things are not looking so rosy.

"Act NZ is the most popular party for men aged 18-49

Support for New Zealand’s Labour/Greens ‘coalition’ government was down 3.5% points to 46.5% in November as support for the Labour Party dropped 3.5% points to 36%. Support for the Greens was unchanged at 10.5%. This is the lowest level of support for Labour since the election of the Jacinda Ardern-led Government in October 2017 with 36.9% of the vote.

For the first time since the election support for the Parliamentary Opposition National/ Act NZ/ Maori Party has now overtaken the Government at 47% in November, up 3% points since October. However, it is worth noting there is no formal agreement between these three opposition parties.

Support rose for all three opposition parties with National up 0.5% points to 26.5%, Act NZ up 1.5% points to a new record high of 17.5% and support for the Maori Party hitting its highest for over five years since January 2016, up 1% point to 3%.

New Zealand’s largest city of Auckland was in an extended lockdown throughout the month of November, and it is only this week that bars, restaurants and gyms in the city are re-opening after being closed for more than three months.

The big political event in November came right at the end of the month when National Leader Judith Collins lost a vote of no confidence last week and lost the leadership of the party.

Despite the combined support of National/ Act NZ/ Maori Party overtaking Labour/ Greens for the first time in November, this has not been because of an increase in support for National. Since last year’s NZ Election National support has increased by 0.9% points while support for Act NZ has more than doubled, up by 9.9% points to 17.5%.

6.5% of electors support other minor parties outside Parliament."

The Land of the Long White Teeth is coming apart, as all Socialist-manipulated countries eventually do.

The latest absurdity is the disgraceful treatment of a group of concerned New Zealand scientists who urged that Maori myths "explaining" the nature of things – cultural mumbo-jumbo based on no empirical evidence –shouldn’t be taught in school science curricula on a par with physics, chemistry and other sciences.

When NZ Labor got a solid majority based on NZ's covid performance she set about implementing her socialist agenda and in doing so managed to piss off large sections of the community.

While NZ's environmental laws have always been lax, the new tough regulations JA introduced imposed massive costs on industries and farmers to reach compliance with very little phase-in. This combined with a new tax on high petrol consumption vehicles such as farmers' utes has the farming community who largely supported her in 2020 wanting to lynch her.

Next supposedly to lower house prices Labour banned negative gearing pissing off nearly 1m of people who invested for retirement in property, and when house prices rose further pissed off new home buyers and lower-income renters when rents skyrocketed as landlords raised rents to cover their mortgages.

Then when the delta virus came to NZ, she kept Aukland severely locked down for nearly 4 months even when clearly this wasn't working spurring protests with many 1000s of protesters.

Finally, she came up with the 3 waters plan to hand control over all water supplies and treatment to Maori control which was vigorously opposed by just about everyone.

So 1 year after winning a landslide, if an election was held today Labour could not govern even with Greens support.

The opposition are doing well in NZ, they sacked their leader last week.

And in spite of this Labour is sinking in the polls.

Polls do fluctuate and as we've learned in this
country - they are not always accurate and can
change at a moment's notice.

Political leaders are not perfect and governments often
struggle to implement their agendas but if they excel at
crisis management their poll numbers will remain robust.

The old joke goes, capturing the distrust many people
feel for both left and right:

"It doesn't matter who you vote for, a politician
always gets in."

What distinguishes Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern from
the politicians who bay at her heels is that she's who
you want in a crisis. In New Zealand's double disasters,
from The Christchurch Massacre to the Whakaari eruption,
the Prime Minister met each tragedy with immediate
action, crisp and clear communication, and an extraordinary
human care almost entirely absent in modern politics.

The PM is not perfect and her government does struggle to
implement its agenda but the one aspect where the PM and
her government does excel is dealing with an immediate
crisis. And for that most New Zealanders I believe are
thankful and therefore for the time being at least the polls
will continue to hold for her because of it.