Short Proposition

It is better to be pessimistic, that way you won’t be disappointed. While the collective polls at http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/ currently tip Biden to win on a 9% basis, collective poll predictions proved wrong in 2016.

Within the collective polls Rusmussen Reports, a very accurate pollster in 2016 http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/how_we_did sharply disagreed with the collective on 28 October 2020, tipping Trump to win by 1%.

Long Proposition

See Rusmussen's 2020 prediction here http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct28

“Trump 48%, Biden 47%, Wednesday, October 28, 2020

President Trump has seesawed back into a one-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch survey.
The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided... The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points...”

The US voting system is very complicated, due to:

The President is elected according to the Electoral College System http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Electoral_College not directly on the popular vote. In 2016 Trump won more Electoral College votes (304 to Hillary’s 227) while Hillary won more popular votes (65,853,514 compared to Trump’s 62,984,828).

Tied to Electoral College system, Swing/Battleground/Toss-up State results often determine who wins. See this Electoral Map http://www.270towin.com/maps/biden-trump-polling-map where Trump or Biden needs 270 Electoral College Votes to win. Swing States (Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin and Iowa) are identified and predicted here http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/28/us-election-polls-tracker-swing-states-donald-trump-joe-biden .

In very close State counts disputes have been filed with State or Federal courts, perhaps ultimately for the US Supreme Court to decide. http://theconversation.com/the-case-of-biden-versus-trump-or-how-a-judge-could-decide-the-presidential-election-146367 .

This 2020 election is very unusual in that the President says he won’t accept a Biden win under the electoral system http://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/24/politics/trump-election-warnings-leaving-office/index.html .

Here's hoping Biden wins.

If Trump wins the Progressives will be uncontrollable in their spewing of hatred !

Indy, as a Progressive, I wont be greatly concerned as to who wins. A choice between the senile and the insane in some undemocratic election, in some undemocratic country is not a great choice to begin with. From a world prospective Biden appears to be the lesser of two evils, but only by a degree. To think, like other world nut cases these jerks have their hand on the button of ultimate destruction. That's far more concerning than any phony election result.

Yes indeedy indi

No matter who wins there'll be violence on US streets.

Trump has encouraged such violence for his own electoral benefit.

His base plead "Mr Trump please protect us from the rising, rioting black hordes!"

More here http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2020/10/27/americans-concerned-about-post-election-violence-as-police-prepare

I really think that the results will be very close.

But if Trumpf wins fair and square, as a 'Progressive', I'd concede that he is entitled to another four years.

End of, Individual.

Joe

"Trump has encouraged such violence for his own electoral benefit" plantagenet.

Really, when did he become the leader of the BLM ratbags, & how many times did he offer the military to stop the riots?

That is some pretty good rationalising there.