The Forum > General Discussion > How important is Wayne Swan's surplus?
How important is Wayne Swan's surplus?
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At just over one billion dollars it is a rounding error away from being obliterated. It is a small target, so will be very difficult to hit, and even if it is hit, what real difference will it make to fiscal settings?
Most financial commentators do not expect the surplus to be achieved.
Worse, to hit it the government has played around with the timing of various expenditures in what economist Saul Eslake calls "financial chicanery".
This is a government that is portrayed as dishonest, incompetent, over-promising and under-delivering. Wouldn't it have been better for Swan to say "Sorry, we've done our best, but a surplus is just not going to happen this year" rather than to have expended more political capital on what is going to be a fairly unconvincing debating dot point?
He would have been derided by Joe Hockey "this government will never have a surplus", but the commentators would have mostly been on side.
And from what I can see, most voters won't change their vote on this issue.