The Forum > General Discussion > Turning Back the Boats,
Turning Back the Boats,
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Sorry, I missed this bit. No action was taken before the election that had any influence whatsoever on whether the boats arrived. You acknowledge this.
You say he "took decisive political action". Since he didn't do anything that altered the refugee outcome, it could only have been decisive in the effect it had on on the electoral outcome. In other words when it comes to the boats arriving saying nothing would have had a similar non-effect, and perhaps just announcing the policies he did in implement later would have had a bigger effect. But instead he instructed his military to not keep him informed, knowingly broke the law of the high seas, got into a diplomatic row with another country, told the voters things he knew were probably not true, and daemonised a group of refugees.
Now you are probably thinking if he had not have pulled this stunt he made not have been re-elected. It's doubtful. It was right after September 11, and the Ansett failure. But lets say you are right. I imagine you then going on to claim if Howard hadn't been elected nothing would have happened on the refugee front. Since you evidently wanted decisive action on boat arrivals you think the ends justifies the means.
I don't think it would have worked out like that. Howard's Labor predecessors, Hawk/Keating were pretty harsh on the refugee front. Notice that now the boats hit the same level they did on the eve of the 2001 elections, Labor is now looking at solutions very similar to the ones Howard used. So my guess is the things you wanted done would have been done regardless of the who won the election. After all Hansen had freshly ploughed the row. It was there for either side to sow and reap the benefits, and the rising boat numbers would have made it difficult to do otherwise.