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The Forum > General Discussion > The Coalition to pass Labor on 2 party preferred.

The Coalition to pass Labor on 2 party preferred.

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The postal votes have shown a strong bias towards the coalition. A few days ago Labor was ahead by 160 000 votes on the 2pp count and using this as a basis for claiming the moral right to govern.

The 2pp count difference has now whittled down to just over 4000 or .04% difference, and with a large number of postal votes outstanding this is likely to translate into a large lead for the coalition by week's end.

The coalition will then trounce Labor on seats, party votes and 2pp votes. Labor will have lost all legitimacy to claim the right to govern.
Posted by Shadow Minister, Monday, 30 August 2010 6:45:49 PM
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Apologies for the inaccuracy.

By the time I had finished the post the liberals had already passed Labor.
Posted by Shadow Minister, Monday, 30 August 2010 9:09:37 PM
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Quite right SM except on the point of governance. It would appear that no matter what, it will be decided by the three independents.
Oh yes and can you please use appropriate adjectives as "Trounce" implies a commanding and decisive lead. The current situation as at 9:52 sees the liberal party and the national party combined holding a quaint margine of 0.02% in the two party preferred( never worked that one out when a coalition is more than one party) and a slender one seat advantage. It reminds me of that other term that really crawls up me the good old interest rate HIKE of .25 of one percent.
Posted by nairbe, Monday, 30 August 2010 9:58:17 PM
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Well it had to come, you got it right Shadow Minister at this point Libs are in front.
An extraordinary election, lost by Labor all by themselves, yet they may still govern.
That fool in the upper house says he would, or maybe would block all Labor bills, no chance of stability there.
Did we hear the latest foolishness from the member for poky demolition? inquiry in to that test world changing stuff that and he has a say too?
Wilkie? well he wants a treasure chest for his own back yard and some lefty stuff no one can give him.
The 3 ex Nationals?honest and trusted but under great presure from slugs grubs and former Friends.
Even those who trusted them and voted for them want control.
Abbott has his difficulty's too, parental leave is middle class welfare.
He could have to eat humble pie on NBN and even ,gee think about it ETS.
This election looks like a poisoned chalice to me no matter who rules.
Lets put Australia first go back to the polls.
Posted by Belly, Tuesday, 31 August 2010 5:25:31 AM
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It does look like Abbott should be given the opportunity to govern in all fairness and i would imagine that with a couple of concessions the three independents will go with the coalition. They can get away with the NBN by saying they had to do it for the support to govern and fair enough. Those who can not compromise will perish.
Belly, Wilkie has made it clear that he has made no demands rather is making his position clear and wishes to understand clearly where the parties stand so as to make his decision. Yes he wants for his neglected long term labor seat and why not so do we all and the independents have a once in a generation opportunity to do it. Your bitterness toward the Greens and independents shows us you just don't accept the responsibility for labors self destruction. Neither the Greens or the independents will ruin our governments, that will be achieved by the selfishness of the big two, to hold on to power no matter what. It's chicken little Belly.
There is no reason a balance of power government won't work and most likely if the coalition can make it work they will be in power for a long time while labor waits for a messiah like Bob Hawke instead of reforming the party as they never do. New faces same rubbish. It breaks my heart as i can not face years of Abbott and his pontificating on my rights and values while the national infrastructure, health and education crumble around us. We get what we deserve.
Posted by nairbe, Tuesday, 31 August 2010 7:20:42 AM
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It looks increasingly unlikely that Gillard will be able to form a government that has the confidence of the House of Representatives, in which case it seems more probable that we'll have to endure an Abbott minority government.

However, after next July they won't have it all their own way, thanks to the Greens in the Senate :)
Posted by CJ Morgan, Tuesday, 31 August 2010 8:07:41 AM
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