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The Forum > General Discussion > Can Ukraine win?

Can Ukraine win?

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Trumps the biggest criminal the WH ever had.
http://www.youtube.com/shorts/jyabP8Lf5t8
Posted by Armchair Critic, Saturday, 11 July 2026 6:45:46 PM
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Zaluzhnyi: Assuming Russia has lost the war is a 'dangerous misreading'
http://kyivindependent.com/zaluzhnyi-assuming-russia-has-lost-the-war-is-a-dangerous-misreading/
Posted by Armchair Critic, Sunday, 12 July 2026 1:20:07 AM
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Hi AC,

The question is not whether Russia has military capability, but whether it is prepared to keep copping the losses. Another 28 ships in the sea of Azov yesterday. All the attacks on refineries, ports shipping, factories, trains etc would stop immediately were Russia to cease its invasion and withdraw.

The latest reported troop losses for Russia were about 1500, around 700 more than they recruit daily. Not being able to counter Ukrainian drones is a serious problem for Russia.
Posted by Fester, Sunday, 12 July 2026 7:24:13 AM
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Well, they're only taking more oil off the market, and soon that will be an issue. Apparently they couldn't take these smaller river barge oil tankers ships back up the river, and they didn't want to take them under the Crimean bridge in case one was attacked whilst directly under the bridge.

"All the attacks on refineries, ports shipping, factories, trains etc would stop immediately were Russia to cease its invasion and withdraw."

Bombing a country doesn't make them submit, it hardens their resolve.
Putins facing significant criticism for not attacking them with greater force.
And these attacks play into the hands of hardliners.
Posted by Armchair Critic, Sunday, 12 July 2026 7:38:43 AM
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Hi AC

"Bombing a country doesn't make them submit, it hardens their resolve."

Putin is pushing that line with the increasing number of vocal critics, and propaganda works as it always does, but this video of Konstantinivka shows that reality isn't changed by resolve and propaganda.

https://youtu.be/UhGG5jNBwpw?si=MlcrZLMGc8QJQ4wp

Like Monty Python's Black Knight, it's all about the actual threat, not the resolve or propaganda. If Russia doesn't come up with something to counter Ukrainian drones soon, they will face a very miserable winter. The Russian Army is calling for a ceasefire in Konstantinivka on humanitarian grounds. They wouldn't be doing that unless their forces were getting slaughtered.
Posted by Fester, Sunday, 12 July 2026 1:43:37 PM
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Another problem from the Ukrainian drones is the damage they are doing to Russian radar and air defence. A direct result is that aircraft carrying glide bombs are at risk. Glide bomb attacks are now a fraction of what they were.
Posted by Fester, Sunday, 12 July 2026 8:55:21 PM
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