The Forum > Article Comments > The pitfalls in talking up the economy > Comments
The pitfalls in talking up the economy : Comments
By Arthur Thomas, published 12/12/2008An inexperienced Rudd Government will pay for poor preparation and self promotion by rushing in with rhetoric and grand visions before determining the full extent of the crisis.
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No cop out Keith, more like my response to what I think is basically
a troll, who likes arguing for the sake of it, not because he is
convinced of his own argument, which he has never thought through.
You are free to write your own article on the topic, if you are
so convinced of it. IMHO anyone with any understanding of economics,
would think you were basically joking, or just a little nuts.
Resource developments don't just happen, companies invest 10s of
billions of $ to bring them onstream. If you then wanted to restrict
exports with large taxes, to suit your political agenda, they
would take their money and run. Africa and much of the third world
are full of resources, undeveloped because companies don't trust
the Govts. So they don't invest. The same would happen here.
So what if unemployment increases in the short term? What we have
been down to is largely the unemployable. Australians choose to
work, they don't have to work. When all those jobs now being done
by new migrants, 457 workers and unfilled positions are snapped up,
then we can get serious about unemployment. Meantime much
of our infrastructure is run down in Australia, so its a great time
to use those people to rebuild some of it.
The biggest beneficiaries of cheap Chinese t-shirts and other
consumer goods, is in fact consumers. If the poor had to pay
alot more for Australian made clothes, due to higher labour costs,
the poor would be the first to see their standard of living drop.
The very fact that China and India have a couple of billion
people who want to join the middle class, own new homes, new cars,
etc, will underpin the price of resources in the longer term.
Short term anything can happen, as we see with the price of oil.
All that low oil prices will achieve is less investment in new
developments, so when demand increases once again and lead times
for new projects can take 5-10 years, prices will skyrocket once
again.