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Beware of the Obama hype: what 'change' in America really means : Comments
By John Pilger, published 17/11/2008Obama’s first two crucial appointments represent a denial of the wishes of his supporters on the principal issues on which they voted.
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You've confused popularity with successful action and results.
You're arguing because George Bush is unpopular he isn't successful.
Do you apply the same test to your own circumstances?
And I was right in my estimation that you couldn't rise to my challenges.
Dear Yabby
Let's see I'll focus on the nuts and bolts. You look at your investment from the long term. The big picture eh?
You make a few assumptions.
The stock market will rise over time. Probable but it's only good if your investment survives the ups and downs.
You assume BHP will always pay a dividend. I think that highly unlikely. As income falls so does profit and if BHP loses money over several years you would hope it has sufficient reserves to stave off insolvency. It won't pay dividends.
What's the object of investing?yIt seems you are in it to ensure your investment retains it's value or grows greater than inflation.
Oh or doesn't fall too much in times of deflation.
Now assess those two effects on ownership of BHP shares over 10 or twenty years. I think you might wake up in twenty years time with an investment that has shrunk...dramatically.
In light of the fact it is likely, even with the downturn, that state and federal governments intend to run deficits (inflationary) and Res Bank is intent on reducing interest rates(Inflationary) the only possible counter to those is rising unemployment and if that gets out of control then deflation becomes a very serious risk.
In either case having cash or precious metals would allow flexibility to trade in currencies and/or recieve interest payments.
Having shares is risky, as they may fall in value or become worthless. Size in business doesn't guarantee survival. Flexibility and innovation does. I always worry when major apparently stable businesses lose vast amounts of equity for no real apparent reason ... as is the case with most traded equities today.
The economic situation today means many of the assumptions of yesterday are useless.
Stick your big picture, I prefer the nuts and bolts.