The Forum > Article Comments > The threat of global food shortages - part one > Comments
The threat of global food shortages - part one : Comments
By Peter Timmer, published 3/6/2008Hoarding by countries and speculative bidding on food exacerbate scarcity and cause prices to climb.
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Posted by johncee1945, Tuesday, 3 June 2008 11:51:41 AM
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'The recovery of Australia’s wheat crop, currently being harvested, has caused a significant decline in wheat prices since early April.'
I think it incorrect. Australia has still not planted much of it's wheat crop. We harvest November December. It was the expectation of a better harvest this year that may have helped drive world prices down. In any case it does show the importance of Australia's wheat exports to the global food supply. It also demonstrates that if Australian crop prospects can impact world grain prices any decision to convert grain to ethanol in Australia will have the same effect, to increase prices with the flow on effects to the poor of this world Posted by Goeff, Tuesday, 3 June 2008 2:46:41 PM
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There is no food shortage.
Over 1 billion of Earth's human inhabitants suffer from obesity. And that's just the food that gets eaten. What about the food that doesn't? Research has found that the global community dumps over 50 million tons of unused food each year to landfills. It has been estimated that the world population throws away 700 million slices of bread and other huge quantities of bakery goods, meat and fish, ready-made mixed food and unopened dairy products each and every year. This is equivalent to them throwing away one in three of every shopping bag of food they purchase. The food debate (as with the energy debate) should focus squarely on the demand side of the equation before putting a priority on new production. Talk about needs first. Only then we can talk sensibly about supply issues. Posted by gecko, Tuesday, 3 June 2008 3:20:58 PM
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gecko says "that the global community dumps over 50 million tons of unused food each year to landfills."
But there is a necessary cause and that is, to keep food prices high to generate profits. Or the opposite, flood the world market to bankrupt some countries, particularly trade rivals. In the US with the science and technology available today, some states could easily produce enough to satisfy the worlds population, maybe even a few times over. But what happens? Farmers are subsidised not to grow wheat or rice in order to keep profits high. Irrespective of a billion people globally that verge on starvation yearly. During the 1930's depression in the US and here petrol and oil were regularly placed on the tips and ignited where food was dumped so that people would not get it for free. This is the anarchy of the market and profits. Posted by johncee1945, Tuesday, 3 June 2008 4:18:22 PM
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Food prices are high (in relative terms) because oil prices are
high. Oil producers are cashing in an extra 1 trillion$ a year or so from consumers. They can easily pay the 50 billion needed, to lower food prices for the poor. If oil prices stay high and food prices drop, due to the higher cost of production, farmers will stop growing food in the first place. That is exactly why we have a problem now. In many areas of the world, it was simply not worth growing food anymore, as dumped susbidised products put local growers out of business Posted by Yabby, Tuesday, 3 June 2008 4:31:19 PM
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Yet another article on food shortages that forgoes the opportunity to talk about population growth, with only a fleeting mention of “fears of Malthusian crises”.
Peter Timmer refers to rice shortages in The Philippines. A recent article in The Australian reported that The Philippines has the highest birth rate in Southeast Asia and annual population growth of more than 2 per cent, double the regional average. The nation's population swelled to 88.6 million last year, or an annual increase of almost two million. Despite a slowing of growth, 12 million people have been added to the population since 2000. The poorest families are having six or seven children. One third of the population lives on less than one US dollar a day. A former health minister, Alberto Romualdez, has warned that the population could reach 100 million in five years if the President keeps requiring that the state follow Catholic Church teaching against artificial birth control. http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23570024-2703,00.html No wonder they’re having problems with food shortages. Isn’t it time we started talking about the impact of population growth? It’s the poorest countries that are going to bear the brunt of this impact as this is where growth continues to occur. (The UN report World Population Prospects suggests that, if recent fertility rates remain constant, the population of the developing world could grow to 10.6 billion by 2050.) This article in Time – What Condoms Have to do with Climate Change – is one of the relatively few articles I’ve come across which discusses this issue: http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1739253,00.html Developed countries have to acknowledge and address their over-consumption, but shouldn’t developing countries also consider the impact of their growing populations? It’s time the issue of population growth was put high on the climate change agenda, along with a lot of other things previously overlooked by the flawed Kyoto Protocol (e.g. forest protection). It should be a major consideration in the post-2012 climate change agreement. Posted by Elizabeth Hart, Tuesday, 3 June 2008 8:54:38 PM
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What must be taken into consideration is the politicians and trade union bureaucrats globally are driving wages downwards and backwards. Even a large section of the middle class are being driven backwards. (whilst the politicians are overflowing their own pockets) At a certain stage this process will have disasterous consequences.