The Forum > Article Comments > ‘Lazarus with a triple bypass’ could well become Harry Houdini > Comments
‘Lazarus with a triple bypass’ could well become Harry Houdini : Comments
By John Warhurst, published 30/8/2007A Kevin Rudd election victory is looking likely: however, there are four reasons why Labor might still lose.
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Now it may be thought that recent amendments to electoral legislation, changes that are widely understood to have the effect of closing the electoral rolls at 6:00 PM on the day the writs are issued for the Federal elections, will prevent a last-minute enrolment surge such as that of 1987 and subsequent election years from occurring.
I beg to suggest this will not necessarily be so.
A series of four posts titled "The Method in the Proposed Referendum Madness" to the topic "Vote against four year Federal Parliamentary terms", commencing with this link: http://forum.onlineopinion.com.au/thread.asp?discussion=881#15317 , and continuing further down the thread, explain why this seeming early closure of the rolls may be ineffective.
Returning to the matter of the enrolment surge of July 1987, Submission 161 on the list at http://www.aph.gov.au/house/committee/em/elect04/subs.htm seems to make a case for the enrolment surge that was claimed to have occurred AFTER the announcement of the 1987 Federal elections actually having been in the enrolment accountancy BEFORE that announcement. If that is true, then it is a BIG WORRY, because that might indicate some degree of manipulation as to the emplacement of names on rolls. Electoral fraud based upon carefully emplaced names is virtually undetectable, should it be occurring.
Submission 161 establishes a discrepancy in the enrolment accountancy for the 1987 roll-close of 204,880 enrolments Australia-wide. Would that have been enough to have made the marginals go counter-trend if it represented fraudulent vote claims on that occasion?
Crikey identifies Bennelong as a critical marginal seat. See: http://www.crikey.com.au/2007-Election/The-Most-Critical-Seat.html . Does the scenario in this link: http://forum.onlineopinion.com.au/thread.asp?discussion=445#8741 to a post to the topic "Bennelong: John Howard vs Maxine McKew" seem a likely prospect?