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The Forum > Article Comments > Might Taiwan be the next Franz Ferdinand moment? > Comments

Might Taiwan be the next Franz Ferdinand moment? : Comments

By Alan Dupont, published 25/11/2020

Amid escalating US-China rivalry, Taiwan is considered the most likely trigger for a hot war. Should it occur, Australia would be caught on the horns of a dilemma.

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Invading Taiwan is a lot more difficult than it sounds as it involves moving a lot of men and equipment to the shores of Taiwan in ships that are essentially sitting ducks for anti-ship and anti-aircraft missiles. Taiwan with the help of the US has stocked up on missiles and aircraft and has strongly fortified the western coast.

Secondly, with US satellites the chances of China being able to build up an invasion force sufficient for surprise attack without being noticed is zero and with the major US base at Okinawa only 500km away, the US response can be airborne before the first ships are halfway. That the massive 7th fleet with 3 carrier arms is only a few days away makes the chances of success very low.
Posted by shadowminister, Thursday, 26 November 2020 10:11:18 AM
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I agree with Hasbeen: we must be prepared to support ourselves in terms of energy and food.

Being called to do our moral duty and support Taiwan against Chinese attack/invasion is not an IF, but a WHEN. We may or may not care to be on America's side, but when evil attacks we should certainly take the side of righteousness - and so will God!
Posted by Yuyutsu, Sunday, 29 November 2020 11:10:43 PM
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Great article Alan Dupont and very timely. Your conclusion is inescapable if Australia is to retain its sovereignty. It might cost the nation in the short term, but at least Australia will still exist as an independent nation in the longer term.
Posted by Pliny of Perth, Monday, 30 November 2020 1:36:19 PM
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