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What if the experts were wrong – really wrong? : Comments
By David Pellowe, published 21/4/2020In 2001 Professor Neil Ferguson, professor of mathematical biology and director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London, predicted up to 150,000 could die in the UK.alone from mad cow disease.
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Posted by loudmouth2, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 4:27:23 PM
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Sr,
You made claims about the data in that link which I'd already rebutted before you'd even made them. You misunderstood what the graphs were showing you and continue to do so. The fact is that data continues to show exactly what I originally said it showed. People are free to check that for themselves by following the link I offered. Whatismore, the issue about that data was a minuscule part of my total post. But making a big deal of periphery is very SR, isn't it? I'm not claiming any early or special insight into this even though I raised the points in this article three weeks ago. All I did was encapsulate thoughts that I'd picked-up on over the previous week or so. There's little doubt that the models were hopelessly wrong about the early numbers when the early political decisions were taken, not than we can blame leaders for buying those predictions. The only thing disconcerting about Australia's response was that it was based on a model that didn't model Australian circumstances or use Australian data. I think even Morrison was embarrassed by that. Posted by mhaze, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 4:32:52 PM
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The people who don't want restrictions lifted so that people can get to work and save what's left of the economy are: politicians and public servants, academics and ABC wafflers - all people secure in their jobs, with no pay cuts. Communists the lot of them.
Posted by ttbn, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 4:39:56 PM
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'Nobody can tell the future, but what if the experts are more right than wrong ?'
It would certainly make a change Joe. Posted by runner, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 4:44:57 PM
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Runner,
We'll see, won't we ? And, Ttbn, there are huge sections of the population who want restrictions in place as long as they are required, THEN lifted as soon as practicable, perhaps bit by bit, by age-group, purpose, region, etc. Not just people who want to make a buck now, come what may, fascists and thugs the lot of them. Or is it possible that most people are somewhere in between communists and fascists ? Joe Posted by loudmouth2, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 4:53:03 PM
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"Or is it possible that most people are somewhere in between communists and fascists ?"
Being "between communists and fascists" is a dangerous spot to be. Just ask Poland. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasion_of_Poland Posted by mhaze, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 5:07:05 PM
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http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html
there have been 160,000 deaths from this virus. Currently, around 2.3 million people have tested positive.
So perhaps a bit different from the flu then.
And the US has barely reached its peak of infections yet, let alone its peak of deaths, although rallies to demand freedoms to get haircuts and massages might help to increase that, perhaps towards a second wave out there in Trump's heartland, a wave scattered across the length and breadth of the US where there are fewer resources and staff than in the big cities.
Nor has the virus really got into Africa or India or much of the developing world. This writer is a moron.
Nobody can tell the future, but what if the experts are more right than wrong ?
Joe