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The Forum > Article Comments > What if the experts were wrong – really wrong? > Comments

What if the experts were wrong – really wrong? : Comments

By David Pellowe, published 21/4/2020

In 2001 Professor Neil Ferguson, professor of mathematical biology and director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London, predicted up to 150,000 could die in the UK.alone from mad cow disease.

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Yep, but...speaking of historic moments in time, out of every bad comes a good.

In the end the consequences of the fourteenth century plague gave us future generations, hastened advances in modern technology and a significant reduction in the power of the Catholic Church.

Hang in there.

Dan
Posted by diver dan, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 11:06:06 AM
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At least Binoy Backpack hasn't come up with a virus story.
Posted by ttbn, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 11:44:24 AM
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I know mention of the name Andrew Bolt causes apoplexy among some people. But the mature and serious among us would do well to watch his "Politicians 'freaked out' about plainly wrong coronavirus predictions" on Sky News.
Posted by ttbn, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 12:10:13 PM
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If only there'd been some warning... http://forum.onlineopinion.com.au/thread.asp?discussion=9129&page=0

I'm not of the view that we should entirely blame government for their initial reactions. They had very little data and were presented with very scary scenarios. Shoot first, ask questions later was probably the right call AT THE TIME.

But the world has changed and it seems pretty clear that, had they known then what we know now, they'd have pulled different levers. At the very least they should have included economists in the decision mix knowing that lockdown wasn't cost free.

My main beef now is that, with new and better knowledge, they are continuing policies that were based on faulty data. Its not in the nature of government to admit error. That is costing us dearly.
Posted by mhaze, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 1:34:45 PM
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Dear mhaze,

"If only there'd been some warning..."

Oh what rubbish. The link you provided in that thread at the time had very little increases in mortality in the countries listed. It has now been updated and showed just how wrong your assessment was. Why on earth you thought you could tout in here is beyond belief.

We have an approaching flu season here and no country has yet experienced taking this disease through a full winter yet. The potential for this to get very pear shaped in the upcoming months is very real. We should only be relaxing restrictions very cautiously and absolutely no one should be rushing into this.
Posted by SteeleRedux, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 1:57:54 PM
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Of course we need to get the country back to work, & damn quickly.

Anyone else note it is the lefties who want to use this to cause as much pain & chaos as possible. As usual they hope to grab a few more leavers while chaos reigns, & they can avoid notice in the general panic.
Posted by Hasbeen, Tuesday, 21 April 2020 3:00:08 PM
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