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Is Donald Trump destined to fail? : Comments
By Keith Suter, published 30/1/2020Barber argued that there were four presidential styles derived from a person being either 'active' or 'passive' and from being either 'positive' or 'negative'.
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1. Different polls/betting agencies give different results. I look at http://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020-2982545 which tips:
Trump is at the most narrow odds at 1.8
Sanders less likely to win at 5, and
Biden 6
the other Democrats way behind.
2. Trump communicates well to many Americans. Sanders is a bit leftwing for Americans with too many "socialist" economic ideas. Biden is a bit strange - expect more footage of him kissing the back of the heads of woman he doesn't know and other "dirty old man" behaviours.
3. Most US Presidents in the modern era win a second term (eg. Bill Clinton (who also didn't resign after impeachment), then George W. Bush then Obama).
4. Arguably the US economy has thrived under Trump. More jobs wins more votes.