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Cruise missile targeting of Syria : Comments
By Peter Coates, published 29/8/2013The US and allies seems almost certain to use cruise missiles against the Syrian regime, but what can they sensibly target?
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Posted by plantagenet, Tuesday, 10 September 2013 8:05:02 PM
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Peaceful removal of Assad's chemical weapons (CWs) sounds preferable to US-French airstrikes.
I'm a bit of a pessimist though, giving removal about a 40% chance of success. Things that could go wrong include:
- Assad refusing to handover CWs or excessively delaying handover due to haggling over "what kind of international force?".
- Assad's forces don't handover all the CWs or are perceived as not handing over all CWs.
- dissenting elements in Assad's army or Hezbollah refuse to hand over some CWs.
- all CWs in Syria are handed over but Assad continues to mass murder by conventional means.
These are just some ways that might eventually return the issue back to US-French airstrikes.