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The Forum > Article Comments > Floods and storms: we ainít seen nothing yet > Comments

Floods and storms: we ainít seen nothing yet : Comments

By Julian Cribb, published 10/2/2011

Because of climate change the one-off levy to pay for the damage is likely to be a regular impost.

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The trouble is that we AREN'T getting more critical weather events. The number of hurricanes in the Atlantic has dropped to an all-time low and there are no more weather-induced floods or heatwaves than there were last decade or the decade before. Of course, there are more people to get in the way of them, and more measuring instruments to detect them -- (although there are actually many less remote weather stations in use around the world than there were in the 70s -- gee, I wonder what effect THAT might be having on the figures).

No reputable scientist now claims a link between global warming and CURRENT critical weather events, regardless of what they might have said in 1992. Yes, they like to speculate on what may happen, to keep the grants coming in, but nobody is willing to draw a direct connection now, because they know how fast they would be shot down by people who can do the math. Only misguided populists like Mike Carlton seriously advance this kind of nonsense -- and his latest rant was pulled off the SMH website after one day. Perhaps the powers that be are starting to see reason after all.
Posted by Jon J, Thursday, 10 February 2011 6:10:58 AM
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I agree Jon.

Yasi was just one of another cyclone to hit the Queensland coast. We've had them recorded since European settlement and I doubt we bought them with us. It was a cat 5 but did less damage than the cat 4 that hit Darwin and Innisfail.

The Qld flooding was mostly the result of a monsoonal trough. No record flood levels were recorded except around Condamine. Again as above, we've had them before and we'll get them again.

The Brisbane floods were a lot less extensive than in 1974 and other years... and not because of mitigation. Again we'll have them again.

And of course the snows in the northern hemisphere in winter are traditional.

What was that you and your warmist mates were telling us last year? No snow in the Northern Hemisphere in winter anymore and perpetual droughts in Australia forever?

This type of chicken little fear squawking isn't going to make the sky fall in.
Posted by keith, Thursday, 10 February 2011 6:48:19 AM
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they like to speculate on what may happen,
Jon J,
yeah, that's all they do at our expense. The cost of all that speculation would pay for just about bullet proof infrastructure. Just imagine how many flood mitigation dams the cost of the Kopenhagen party alone could have built.
Posted by individual, Thursday, 10 February 2011 7:02:52 AM
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There is another big weather influence evolving ie the magnetic north is shifting at 49 km per yr.Scientists say this could be causing severe electrical storms.They say already our magnetic field has decreased by 10%.This magnetic shield blocks a lot of radiation from the sun.We have had 400 swappings of the poles they are aware of.It takes 1000 yrs to complete a cycle.Our huge soft iron core is moving and this will also have an influence on our floating continents.ie earthquakes and volcanoes.

Weather very complex and we need to look at all the variables not just the man made ones.
Posted by Arjay, Thursday, 10 February 2011 7:14:46 AM
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It's sad to see someone of Julian's seniority made such outlandish claims.

There's a kind of desperation in the global warmers prognostications which comes from the fact that their issue is falling off the media agenda. They are getting more and more hysterical as per this article. Still, OLO is a broad church.

The claims of heat death have nothing to do with global warming and everything to do with people not checking that older people in large cities have the air con on and are drinking water. It's a sociological problem more to do with how we treat old people rather than global warming. This fact has been cited again and again in medical journals and the popular press.
Posted by Cheryl, Thursday, 10 February 2011 7:19:56 AM
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I thought it was 100,000 yrs for poll shift. That's the first time i have seen Arjay state something that has actually happened before.
Posted by a597, Thursday, 10 February 2011 8:04:41 AM
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