The Forum > General Discussion > Australia's looming balance of payments crisis?
Australia's looming balance of payments crisis?
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Considering Australia's once-in-a-century commodities boom, we should be racking up huge current account surpluses and exporting capital to the rest of the world. Instead, we're are racking up record current account deficits and hundreds of billions in foreign debt.
Australians have spent the last decade pumping the savings of foreigners into an overheated housing market, leaving us with record levels of foreign debt but no increased capacity to service those liabilities. The commodities boom was meant to turn our fortunes around. But in reality, it has simply allowed us to keep borrowing rather than address the structural imbalances in our economy. Besides, high levels of foreign ownership in the resources sector have meant a constant outflow of money overseas in the form of dividend payments.
Australia seems to have fallen into a classic debt trap - borrowing in order to service existing debt. And the current global credit squeeze will only make Australia's debt burden more difficult to service.
So, what happens when the commodities boom comes to an end and Australia's terms of trade decline?