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ANZAC Day
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The genesis of wars can be as you say in events that take place long before hostilities break out. How does that make wars avoidable?
Do we have the foresight to look at an event and tell if it will lead to war? Even if we have the foresight do we have the power to change the events?
One cause of war is too many people fighting for too few resources. The first sentence of paragraph 50 of the Pope's recent encyclical is, "Instead of resolving the problems of the poor and thinking of how the world can be different, some can only propose a reduction in the birth rate."
It is a distortion as one can see a reduction of the birth rate as desirable and also be concerned with the problems of the poor. I think one of the problems is the high birth rate. No species can increase indefinitely, and our species is no exception.
The expression of the above attitude is one of the many events leading to future wars. There doesn't seem to be much we can do about it.