The Forum > General Discussion > Germany to join the BRICS Nations ?
Germany to join the BRICS Nations ?
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>>This represents $285,000 for every person on the planet and they are woven into the real productive market.<<
Try reading this Slate article all the way through - it shouldn't take you long.
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/explainer/2008/10/596_trillion.html
The article was written in 2008, so the figure they use - $596 trillion - could well have moved today to the $2,000 trillion you refer to. But, as the article points out, this is an aggregate of all contracts, puts and calls, and therefore is not a measure of exposure at all.
"Within that $596 trillion are derivatives that effectively relate to the same assets—if you have a contract to buy euros in January and I have one to buy euros in April, we may end up buying the same currency, but its notional value will get counted twice. Moreover, in many instances, the "notional amount" is just a benchmark that never even changes hands—as in the case of the interest-rate swap, by far the most common type of derivative. Likewise, because derivatives are often used to hedge risks, there's a good probability that many contracts in the system essentially cancel one another out."
As the Financial Times put it, in the same year...
"Gross numbers are no basis on which to estimate the impact of the market in credit derivatives; net exposure is the place to start."
Hope this helps calm your fears.