The Forum > General Discussion > Australia in consumer recession.
Australia in consumer recession.
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Their assessment comes as the government prepares to issue $36 billion in new bonds to help get the economy back to surplus.
"This budget, which does contain a reasonably broad-based tightening of fiscal policy, can only mean that rates will stay lower for longer or when they do go up they will go up more gradually," said ANZ chief economist Warren Hogan.
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Mr Hogan said he will be closely watching consumer confidence levels over the coming weeks, given that they are dangerously close to recession levels.
The market is pricing in a 44 per cent chance of a rate hike by the Reserve Bank in the next 12 months.
Higher rates have an impact on borrowing costs and the interest rate associated with the paying back of new government debt, in that it will make it slightly more expensive.
On Tuesday night Treasurer Joe Hockey declared that it was time all Australians acted in the national interest and did their part by contributing to a better Australia with less debt