There are a few comments here that I think need notice.
First Indonesia was until about 2002 an exporter of oil.
However it peaked in 1992 and the export income has ceased and its
production will continue to decrease while its usage is still increasing.
This inevitably will put pressure on Indonesia's economy.
I am unaware of how dependant they are on food imports or if subsidies
are applied to food and fuel.
I think I remember riots in Indonesia when subsidies were withdrawn
from fuel.

Now I ask you to make a comparison with Egypt.
Egypt has gone along the same path that Indonesia has started upon.
If this scenario comes to pass Indonesia could become like Egypt and
for the same reasons, too many people and no money.
Indonesia however still has a lot of land that can be used for food.
So while they may not starve they may not be economically strong
enough to present a threat to Australia, unless we go down the
slippery slope that Indonesia seems destined to go down.

Frankly, with falling oil production, increasing cost of oil imports,
their consumption exceeded production in 2002 so they now have a fast
increasing oil bill, and they already have made the switch to motor
bikes, I can see nothing but a contraction of their economy.

That said how are they going to import all those Russian fighters as
well as fly them and maintain them ?

Is Mise:
What you say is important and there are some ugly happenings in West New Guinea. If there is a future problem with Indonesia it will be in New Guinea. The truth about the Newport mine murders has never been released and Indonesia will never relinquish any control of resource rich West New Guinea.