The Forum > General Discussion > Life expectancy in 'traditional' and industrialised societies
Life expectancy in 'traditional' and industrialised societies
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http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2012/10/10/1215627109.full.pdf
titled “Human mortality improvement in evolutionary context”
which analyses the results of a multitude of studies of life expectancy, mortality rates and probablility of death at various ages, in different societies through history.
The study looks at (alphabetically) what they term acculturated hunter-gatherers; France, Japan and Sweden from 1750 to 2010; hunter-gatherer societies; and – as a rough guide to similar rates amongst non-human primates - wild chimpanzees.
They report ‘a stunningly linear pattern between 1840 and the present’ in highly industrialised countries, in which life expectancy has increased by an amazing three months for every year since then, i.e. more than forty years: our life expectancy has increased by around thirty years since 1890, in other words.
As well, they were surprised to find that mortality rates and life expectancy amongst hunter-gatherers is much closer to those of wild chimpanzees than to modern industrialised societies, but not much worse than those of peasant societies such as Japan’s and Sweden’s barely one hundred years ago.
In real terms, they point out that ‘up until age 15 …. Hunter-gatherers experience death rates 100-fold higher than today’s rates’ in industrialised societies: a hunter-gatherer had a similar likelihood to be dead by 30 as a modern Japanese at 72.
Life-expectancy of ‘acculturated’ hunter-gatherers (the article cites ‘Aboriginal people of the Northern Territory’ as an example) – what may as likely be called ‘the under-class’, or ‘the welfare-encapsulated’ population - has been slightly better than for hunter-gatherers overall, but has not improved noticeably over the past couple of hundred years, which has serious implications for health policy. One suspects that the life-expectancy and mortality rates of professional Indigenous people is quite different, and share much more with those of industrialised societies, or the middle class of those societies.
In sum, as they point out, the vast bulk of mortality reduction has occurred in the last one hundred years, the last four generations out of an estimated eight thousand generations of humanity. We're the lucky generations !