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The Forum > General Discussion > Australia's 48th Parliament What To Expect

Australia's 48th Parliament What To Expect

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mhaze,

Once again, the moment you’re caught overselling, it’s everyone else who’s “just making stuff up.” So let’s go line by line and clear the fog.

//“Border crossings remain high...” -> “Now you’re pivoting.”//

The number of illegal crossings between ports of entry dropped significantly in May 2025, yes - but that’s only part of the picture. The same CBP update you linked shows:

“In May 2025, Border Patrol encountered 8,725 people between ports of entry.”
http://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/national-media-release/cbp-releases-may-2025-monthly-update

But total encounters - including those who presented at ports - were 170,723. A drop in one category doesn’t mean the “invasion is basically finished.” That’s your framing, and it’s still false.

No pivot there.

//“Tariff-driven inflation...” -> “Evidence? The inflation rate is lower now.”//

This isn’t about overall CPI today, it’s about what tariffs did when introduced. The inflationary effects on agriculture, construction, and consumer goods during Trump’s first term are well-documented. Multiple independent analyses (Brookings, Fed papers, and the CFR) detail it.

Claiming that current CPI proves tariffs didn’t trigger price hikes is like claiming the flu doesn’t cause fever because you feel fine now.

//“Zero evidence of 5% NATO compliance” -> “Here’s a link!”//

You linked to a NATO statement saying:

“Allies made a commitment to investing 5%… by 2035.”
http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49198.htm

That’s a future goal. Not current compliance. So yes, zero evidence of 5% compliance now, which is what I said.

//“USAID is still active” -> “Did you even go to the site?”//

I did indeed.

The article you linked confirms that USAID’s functions continue under the State Department’s new Bureau for Global Development. Programs, staff, and missions didn’t vanish - they were restructured. Bureaucratic name changes are not abolitions.

http://abcnews.go.com/US/after-months-cuts-state-department-officially-shuttering-usaid/story?id=120267238

//“DACA blocked” -> “He hasn’t touched it this term!”//

Precisely. You previously argued Trump was being blocked by courts. But on DACA, he hasn’t even tried this term - so blaming obstruction makes no sense.

If you’re going to accuse someone of fabrications, mhaze, it helps to not have your own sources confirm everything they said.

Back you go...
Posted by John Daysh, Sunday, 27 July 2025 9:40:20 AM
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"But total encounters - including those who presented at ports - were 170,723. "

Well you don't say or show where that number came from so who knows what it means. But the issue was illegals and the numbers are so far down that the CPB reports that "Border Patrol released zero illegal aliens into the interior of the US, down from 62,000 last May".

I know this level of success is distressing for the TDS crowd, but success it is.

"zero evidence of 5% compliance now,"

Now let me just this straight. Trump says he wants NATO nations to increase their defence spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 and they, eventually, accede to his demands. But because they haven't done it yet, (which no one wanted or expected) you think this proves Trump failed.

You are so wrong on these things that you are now not even bothering to try to be serious.

"But on DACA, he hasn’t even tried this term "

You raised DACA not me. The future of DACA is being fought out in the courts. There's no reason for Trump to fight it out when its already being fought out. Yet somehow, you think this is a sign of failure.....not even bothering to try to be serious.

"USAID’s functions continue under the State Department’"

That's what I said previously. Glad you caught up or caught on
Posted by mhaze, Sunday, 27 July 2025 11:27:03 AM
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mhaze,

Let’s clear this up - again - since your latest reply mostly confirms what I said, even if you’re now trying to spin it the other way.

//Border Patrol released zero illegal aliens into the interior of the US...//

Correct, and that’s good. But it’s a narrow subset. The same CBP update also reports:

“In May 2025, the Border Patrol encountered 8,725 illegal aliens crossing the southwest border between ports of entry.”

I previously cited a broader figure (170,723), which I now can’t verify from the source, so I’ll retract that number. But encounters are still occurring daily across multiple channels: between ports, at ports, and via overstays. The process hasn’t ended, it’s just shifted forms.

So, your claim that the “invasion is basically finished” remains false.

//The most recent inflation data showed the rate is lower now...//

That misses the point. Tariff-driven inflation spiked when the tariffs were introduced – particularly in construction, agriculture, and consumer goods. This has been well-documented by Brookings, the New York Fed, and others.

Pointing to lower inflation now is like denying the flu caused fever because your temperature is normal today.

//Trump says 5% by 2035, and they’ve acceded...//

Right - by 2035. That’s a target, not compliance. So when I said there’s “zero evidence of 5% compliance now,” I was right.

//USAID is finished.//

No, USAID was restructured. Your own source confirms that its functions continue under the Bureau for Global Development. A name change isn’t abolition.

//DACA is in court, so Trump doesn’t need to act.//

Which proves my point: if he hasn’t taken any action this term, there’s nothing for the courts to obstruct. You can’t blame obstruction when there’s been no initiative.

Your sources don’t refute me - they keep confirming me.
Posted by John Daysh, Sunday, 27 July 2025 3:02:56 PM
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John, there are big problems with wind in the UK and Germany.
The UK's recent call for Government subsidy tenders failed totally.
How long can the owners continue without subsidies ?
They are seeing the writing on the wall here hence the cancellations.
They report the maintenance costs are too high, surprised at Sea !!
Basically Net Zero is ending because no one can afford it !
Read the tea leaves.
Posted by Bezza, Sunday, 27 July 2025 5:02:38 PM
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You're reading storm clouds into every ripple, Bezza.

Yes, there’ve been problems with some UK and German offshore wind project, but that’s not “net zero ending.” It’s market correction. Projects stalled mostly due to inflation, high interest rates, and auction price caps not keeping pace with costs, not because renewables are inherently unviable.

Those same countries are now adjusting policies to keep investment flowing. The UK recently raised strike prices to re-attract bidders. Germany’s onshore wind additions actually hit a record high earlier this year. Globally, wind and solar added over 500GW in 2024 alone - the largest jump yet.

As for subsidies: fossil fuels still get far more globally. And yet no one argues oil is “ending” when a new well turns out unprofitable.

Maintenance at sea is expensive, sure, just like oil rigs. But offshore wind is still growing because long-term gains outweigh the upfront hassle. That’s why dozens of countries are still scaling it up.

So, let’s not confuse a few rough quarters with collapse. Read all the tea leaves - not just the ones floating in the Sky After Dark commentary.
Posted by John Daysh, Sunday, 27 July 2025 5:45:34 PM
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"Your sources don’t refute me - they keep confirming me."

Only if you completely misunderstand the sources.

Just because some people still hopefully arrive at the border doesn't mean they invasion continues. They arrive, get picked up and immediately sent back. Which part of ""Border Patrol released zero illegal aliens into the interior of the US, ..." went over your head.

93.5% of the USAID functions have been discontinued. These were the wasteful parts of the programme (eg publishing homosexual comics for Columbians etc). The few useful parts were absorbed into State. Clinging to your error by pretending that Trump failed to close USAID is revealing.

As to NATO, we're back to your desperate attempts to say Trump failed to deliver because the policy takes several years to implement. Its ridiculous. Look back at how you sought to defend Labor's housing promise to see the hypocrisy in your thinking.

DACA. Trump hasn't done anything on DACA. Trump didn't promise to do anything on DACA until the court processes were finalised. Somehow in JD-land that's a failure. Go figure!!

But suffering TDS means that logic goes out the window.
Posted by mhaze, Monday, 28 July 2025 8:22:53 AM
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