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China Has Intent
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. June 2022 Chinese fighter jet drops chaff in front of ADF aircraft.
. November 2023 Chinese warship injures ADF navy divers with sonar.
. May 2024 Chinese fighter drops flares in front of ADF Helicopter.
According to Peter Layton (‘Deterring China’s military violence against Australia’) repeating an aggressive act four times “shows intent”.
“It is now plausible that the Chinese military’s grey zone actions may in the near future seriously injure, or even kill, Australian military personnel”.
Layton suggests that China may be working under “misapprehensions” given that its aggression so far has been met with only “verbal rebukes”.
Some “tangible threat” is needed. Expelling some consulate staff would be a good start. Other countries do it. Why not Australia? Banning Chinese investment in Australia, and sanctions on Chinese imports could also work - particularly raw materials that allow China to make cheap things to sell back to us. The reintroduction of SEATO is another suggestion. We do have allies, apart from the US, like Japan, the Philippines, South Korea in the region, also constantly bullied by the Communists.
“ … China’s growing aggression is an international concern”. Australia is not on its own.
https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/deterring-china-s-military-violence-against-australians