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World financial crisis - where to from here? : Comments
By Tristan Ewins, published 8/12/2008Financial markets need to be restructured to relate to the real economy, and provide for real human need.
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In brief, the US government said to the banks ‘We require you to make loans to people who are a credit risk of not being able to re-pay them. If you do not, we will penalise you, but if you do, we will protect your profits.’
This involved tens of millions of debtors and hundreds of billions of dollars, with enormous economic consequences. This is the prime cause, without which all the other problems under discussion would not exist.
The reason for US government policy in doing this was to make housing more affordable, for national socialist reasons. (The Democrats did it to ‘close the housing gap’, and the Republicans did it to promote an ‘ownership nation’.)
The instrument of these financial policies was to lower interest rates. This inflation of the money supply has three important effects. Firstly, it causes rising prices, starting in the sector receiving the newly created money, in this case, housing. Secondly, it causes massive system-wide malinvestments. The constantly rising prices deceive people into thinking there is an actual real demand for an investment, which, absent the inflation, would be seen to be loss-making. Thirdly, it causes the artificial boom in sectors where real demand is lacking. And it causes the following bust, which is when society undergoes the hardship of washing out the malinvestments caused by government’s interventions, and re-allocating capital to productive uses that really are in demand. This process involves enormous waste as stuff has to be taken out of uneconomic uses – such as big flash houses – and devoted to stuff that people actually want