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Is Garnaut making them uncomfortable enough? : Comments
By Christine Milne, published 26/2/2008We have no time to waste. Professor Ross Garnaut has already made it clear that we need deep cuts fast.
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For those of you who do not see greenie plots under the bed...
Yes, the science truly is scary. Most of the climate modelling done uses a range of scenarios and model types. Until recently, modelling results that imply fast changes on human timescales (<100 years) were rejected from results as they were not publishable. ie. They were just too extreme and didn't have any backup "proof" that would be demanded if decisions were to be based on these results. (and they would lose too much credibility, not to mention funding)
Turns out that the more radical models were more accurate when it comes to the last 5-10 years of climate. Only the radical models actually predicted ice shelve instability, atmospheric temperature anomolies, salinity extremes, etc that we are seeing today.
What is nasty is that even more radical scenarios now have to be taken seriously (by science: the flat-earthers will go on denying no matter what.) These scenarios are scary, and only the foolish and/or ignorant should deny them.
On a futuristic note...this may be the spur we need to crawl out of our cradle. Having soiled it, we now only have to live with the soiled version long enough to learn to live outside of it. Maybe we needed a Soiled Earth as a stepping stone. (Otherwise we'd never take the step, there's always "more important things down here" right up until the comet hits!)