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Green fundamentalism : Comments
By Richard Castles, published 1/12/2006'Repent now or pay later' is the solemn warning of the Stern Report.
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A few questions:
(1) Which would you say you are more interested in the tension between fundamentalism and relativism, or the science and/or economics of climate change?
Re:
"Our most firmly established scientific theories undergo years of rigorous testing before they are welcomed into the category of accepted fact, and even then remain open to challenge. Yet reports such as Stern's are widely taken as gospel before they have been subjected to the intense scrutiny that the importance of the subject demands. There are already signs that major elements of the report will not survive such scrutiny."
(2) Can you be more precise about these signs? What are they? What elements of the report are invalidated, and by whom?
Here is an abridged set of points from the last page of the summary and conclusions of the Stern Report, under the subheading
“Climate change demands an international response, based on a shared
understanding of long-term goals and agreement on frameworks for action.”
“Key elements of future international frameworks should include:
Emissions trading:
“ … strong targets in rich countries could drive flows amounting to tens of billions of dollars each year to support the transition to low-carbon development paths.”
Technology cooperation:
“ ... International cooperation on product standards is a powerful way to boost energy efficiency. "
Action to reduce deforestation:
“ ... Curbing deforestation is a highly cost-effective way to reduce emissions; ..."
Adaptation:
“The poorest countries are most vulnerable to climate change. It is essential that climate change be fully integrated into development policy, and that rich countries honour their pledges to increase support through overseas development assistance ...”
(3) Do you disagree with any of the above opinions?
(4) Failing out-and-out disagreement on one or more, do you believe that inaction is justified on the grounds of their uncertainty or arguability?
If you aren’t really interested in global warming, its predicted consequences and recommended mitigation measures, then I'd say skip questions 2-4.
Stern Review:
http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/ stern_review_economics_climate_change/stern_review_report.cfm