models, models, models. Only as good as the information put in them. So far whether they are health or gw models the 'experts' have failed miserably.

Localised weather reports are amazingly accurate IMO.

I trust BOM predictions which are safely reliable when predicting ocean weather and conditions, which includes currents and current speeds and sea swell, wind changes and speeds. Using BOM radar images as confirmation is an available tool.

Admittedly, these are predictions spanning days not seasons.
Obviously, the longer the predictive path, the more unreliable. The short term predictions are not to be scoffed at.

Dan

Meteorologists? We may be in line for a slightly wetter than normal winter/some really good rain, early summer?

One expects a hotter climate, maybe even record heat waves during a waxing phase of the sun as has happened before during just such events?

But never ever during a normal, cyclical waning phase, when in the past a waning phase has lead to advancing ice/cooler climate

2017 was the then second hotted year on record and during a typical la Nina/waning phase. Should've allowed even the insane coal boosting cohort, a chance to reflect, examine the evidence, the scientific consensus, then change their minds?

Coal could still figure prominently in our future if we were to use the gas we could extract from it as a transitory transport fuel using the waste heat from MSR thorium as the essential/almost costless heat source from that endeavour, ensure that coal as a viable if limited future (30 years?) as we transition out of all fossil fuels.

Scrubbed coal gas can be fed into ceramic fuel cells to make domestic/industrial electricity and given we did? Ensure that the exhaust product was mostly pristine water vapour!

Could be used in steel production as the reduction agent instead of coal that would reduce the amount of CO2 (about60%?) this industry creates!

Hydrogen used instead all but eliminate CO emission from steel production?

Coal gas can be compressed, used as CNG for all ground transport or passed through a simple catalytic conversion process to convert it to liquid methanol to replace liquid high octane petrol. in racing cars/prop planes?

Time to get real about climate change, use the essential transition to quite massively boost/turbocharge the economy/our manufacturing sector.

Do just this much, unprecedented economic growth and essential tax reform will ensure our young folk have a very nice future where they can follow their dreams/just let the economic growth take care of the necessary debt burden
Alan B.

Obviously, the longer the predictive path, the more unreliable. The short term predictions are not to be scoffed at
diver dan,
Well said, I totally agree with that !

Nobody or organisation is perfect, except perhaps for Brendan.

Bring back Monty.......