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The Forum > Article Comments > Mathematical modelling illusions > Comments

Mathematical modelling illusions : Comments

By Jay Lehr and Tom Harris, published 11/1/2019

Although one of the most active areas for mathematical modeling is the economy and the stock market, no one has ever succeeded in getting it right.

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The only mathematical modelling illusions are those used by the author/Coal-fired advocate? Who goes to considerable lengths to obfuscate or misrepresent the facts?

Simply put, 2017 was one of the hottest years on record and during a La Nina weather cycle!

Furthermore, our sun which controls all our climate has been in a waning (cooling) phase since the midseventies, (NASA) which as part of normal cyclical events should have ushered in a mini ice age.

Not a planet ravaged by unprecedented extreme weather events record floods, enduring drought some claim the worst in living memory. Ditto, granny killing heat waves and firestorms erupting all over the world, Marked by advancing desertification that has by and large made over 50 million, displaced by drought, homeless and a crisis of proportions never equalled in two world wars,

As always with climate change deniers, the head is buried somewhere warm and comfortable. Moreover, they never ever allow the fact to get in the way of their subjectively assembled opinions, but rather select those which supports an obvious, as the nose on your face, confirmation bias!?
Alan B.
Posted by Alan B., Friday, 11 January 2019 2:11:57 PM
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we use to call it withcraft or soothsaying. What an insult to true science are these pathetically failed models.
Posted by runner, Friday, 11 January 2019 3:31:07 PM
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And any fool knows that Climate Change causes Earthquakes and therefore Tsunamis, don't they?

Here's PROOF: http://www.axa-research.org/en/project/rebekka-steffen

"Climate change is responsible for many transformations taking place on earth, including, potentially, more earthquakes.

As the load of ice decreases, it changes the stress present in the earth’s crust. These forces could activate formerly quiet seismic faults and generate powerful earthquakes. Researchers know that such glacially induced earthquakes occurred in [Greenland] 10,000 years ago."

AND THINK OF THE EFFECT ON ANTARCTICA! In spitting distance of our beloved Oz.

Just ask Dr. Rebekka Steffen, a geoscientist studying the impact of melting ice sheets on seismic activity.

Please rush Rebekka a $900,000 research grant, via my bank account, today.

:-)
Posted by plantagenet, Friday, 11 January 2019 3:34:26 PM
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Please rush Rebekka a $900,000 research grant, via my bank account, today.
plantagenet,
A whack over the head would be cheaper & probably more effective as it could possibly knock an ounce of sense into this "Doctor".
Posted by individual, Friday, 11 January 2019 5:02:43 PM
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What on earth is all this illusion about climate change?
Since when has our climate been permanent?
Posted by Ponder, Friday, 11 January 2019 5:53:56 PM
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1. "Since when has our climate been permanent?" Very true Ponder.

But to admit that won't score scientists and academics research grants.

Research Grants desperately sought. Subject?:

"The Last Ice Age Was Caveman Caused".

2. I've read somewhere that the Climate Change Orthodoxy is:

If each country trashes its standard of living and spends $Trillions to actually lower overall Greenhouse Gas Totals this will cause:

- a 2 degree C drop in global temperatures

- but that is over a period of 200 years

- because its now too late to reverse Climate Change in a human lifetime

Meaning there'll be no observable change from trashing your standard of living

in even 50 or 100 years.

All is unverifiable so why bother!?
Posted by plantagenet, Friday, 11 January 2019 7:25:39 PM
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