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The Forum > Article Comments > A multifaceted analysis of the recent Iranian nuclear deal > Comments

A multifaceted analysis of the recent Iranian nuclear deal : Comments

By Liang Nah, published 30/9/2015

Analysis of the Iranian nuclear deal conclude that Tehranís submission to economic pressure promoted negotiative flexibility.

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An excellent article from a scholar in the most influential (in International Relations) tertiary institution in the region - S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS).

The nuclear agreement almost looks too easy.

Spoilers may include:

- Iranian ability to "break out" ie quickly add U-235, or Plutonium to the devices and missile delivery means it already has.

- There may not be total consensus in Iran in favour of the agreement. The Revolutionary Guards Corps has staked much in developing the nuclear program and protecting it https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Army_of_the_Guardians_of_the_Islamic_Revolution#Economic_activity

Hence extensive technical intelligence verification is needed to prevent Iranian factions from cheating.

A crude sigint method used was Site-Meter Collection of Iranian Nuclear Program. A simple sitemeter was used to refute Iranian denial they were not interested in a nuclear weapons program. Refuted through Submarine Matters studying the internet search habits of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran employees.

For example see http://gentleseas.blogspot.com.au/2014/01/iranian-nuclear-program-iranian.html :

- March 4, 2007 (IP 213.176.127.82) from - "Iranian Research Organization" employee conducted a Google search with key words "simulation underground nuclear explosion".

- September 9, 2007 (IP 217.218.64.202) Atomic Energy Organization of Iran employee googled searched for information on "nuclear weapon effects computer".

- October 23, 2007 (IP 217.218.64.202) Atomic Energy Organization of Iran employee googled information on "nuclear weapon effects computer".

- November 13, 2007 (IP 217.218.64.202) Atomic Energy Organization of Iran employee googled information on "underground nuclear explosion"

- November 22, 2007 (IP 217.219.18.13) Isfahan (aka Esfahan) University of Technology, Tehran campus, reading information on this blog concerning Indian and Pakistani nuclear missiles.

- June 3, 2010 (IP 83.147.213.101) Isfahan (aka Esfahan) Googled for information on the SILEX laser uranium enrichment process.
Posted by plantagenet, Wednesday, 30 September 2015 1:10:09 PM
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