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Why the NRA has Australia in its sights : Comments
By Andrew Leigh, published 23/7/2015The rarity of mass shootings is almost certainly a direct result of the gun buyback.
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<<Here in Australia...>>
Despite his nom de plume, o sung wu is as Australian as they come and served in the NSW police service for decades.
<<Crime rates have been rising steadily alongside prosperity throughout the western world since the mid sixties.>>
No, since the ‘70s, the overall crime rate has been on the decline (with a temporary increase from the early ‘80s to early ‘90s). Only assaults have been on the rise. (http://www.aic.gov.au/publications/current%20series/facts/1-20/2013.html)
<<And this despite very significant advances in crime detection … there should be hardly any crime at all.>>
You’re assuming that all crime is rationally thought out. Most isn’t, and the risks involved in the few crimes that are rationally thought out are always underestimated.
<<But prisons in NSW are full and getting fuller.>>
Yes, and there are a variety of reasons for that (many of which can be summed up by the more punitive societies that we live in now), and an even more complex interplay of factors are involved regarding America’s rise in serious juvenile crime.
But because YOU can’t explain any of this, you blame one of your pet peeves - violence in media. The relationship between violent media and aggression in children is complex and not yet fully understood. It varies from child to child and much of it is only a short-term display of increased aggression. However, there is no evidence yet linking violent media to crime - either adolescent-limited, or life-course-persistent.
All your arguments are based on carefully cherry-picked, allowing you to fill in the blanks. Explaining crime is more complex than you understand.
<<But western societies are sick and getting sicker.>>
Actually, by any sociological measure, they’re getting better and better, overall. Why, it was only 70 odd years ago that much of the world was at war because a Western country(!) was ruled by a mad man. And you think prisons are filling now? Britain prisons were once so full that they colonised an entire continent just to ease some of the pressure on them.
Oh, where was it again..?