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Griffith by-election result bad news for Tony Abbott : Comments
By Graham Young, published 10/2/2014Taking account of Kevin Rudd's personal vote, the Liberal Party should have won Griffith.
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What's the demographics of Griffith ? I bet it's all public servants, uni students, single mums & a handful of unemployed by choice. Abbott didn't lose, he won by not having these morons' votes. Griffith lost.
Posted by individual, Monday, 10 February 2014 6:39:57 PM
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As always Graham, a measured approach to things. Could it just be that even the diminished Rudd personal Vote was simply taken over by Labor's Butler.
She is very, very personable, good on her feet and had a virtual trouble free campaign. Her put-down of Julie Bishop's comment of the quality of Solicitor Clients was brilliant. Keep up the good work. Will Janine be coming back to radio ? Posted by condi r, Monday, 10 February 2014 7:37:23 PM
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Speaking as a former resident of the seat, and someone who grew up there, Individual you have no idea what you are talking about. http://www.censusdata.abs.gov.au/census_services/getproduct/census/2011/quickstat/CED313?opendocument&navpos=220
Ima, the figures I quote are from the last election. I was surprised that his personal vote had held up so well as I had a sense Glasson was getting a lot of support from people who hated Rudd. Obviously the pro-group was even larger. Condi, I don't think you can just take over a personal vote - Rudd worked very hard to establish it. But it's personal because it goes with the person. I bet Butler has hardly made a dint on impressions. It takes years to do that. And yes, Janine is back this week. Posted by GrahamY, Monday, 10 February 2014 9:55:29 PM
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Graham Y,
Interesting link & info. Just as I thought. cheers Posted by individual, Tuesday, 11 February 2014 4:49:11 AM
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'If Abbott goes into the next election with the suspicion that there are more cuts to come, then Bill Shorten may prove to be just as effective an opposition leader as Abbott was.'
The next election is a long way off and if the Abbott government's first few months are any indication there won't be much left to cut after another 30 months. Bill Shorten is unlikely to be opposition leader at the next election: he is there against the wishes of the Labor rank and file, is a poor performer and his union power base will make him an electoral liability once Royal Commission hits it straps. Posted by Candide, Tuesday, 11 February 2014 6:57:49 AM
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What are the govt waiting for, been there five months and done nothing except watch our debt grow. We now owe more per capita than America, another 10,000 / head than the US. Before the election they had all problems fixed and since then nothing.
Posted by 579, Tuesday, 11 February 2014 7:47:47 AM
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