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Australia's tsunami of the aged : Comments
By Murray Hunter, published 17/1/2014With 14.7% of Australia's population over the age of 65, which is expected to be 24% by 2056, a crisis in aged care is occurring.
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Current ABS estimates are that the percentage of the population aged over 65 in the year 2050 will be 32%.
Assuming that the current voting age remains unchanged, this means that in 2050 the percentage of the electorate over 65 will be 40%.
In addition, the closing of almost all superannuation schemes that pay an indexed pension in favour on those that just give the recipient a large capital sum, will mean that in 2050 around 15% of the electorate will be petty bourgeois - that is to say, people living off their capital.
You have to go back to the 1840's in England to find a period where the percentage was as high as this, and then it was because the working class did not have the vote.
It will mean an enormous shift to the right in government policy. After all, the bourgeois are not interested in unemployment (being all unemployed anyway), and would most probably, in George Bernard Shaw's words, be most interested in economic policies which would result in an real annual after-tax return of 5% on a sound investment, together with sharply reduced spending on welfare. Current Keynesian policies, such as over taxation of interest earnings and death duties, would be anathema.
We could even see a policy of limiting the right to vote to persons with a minimum level of capital.
Should be an interesting century.